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Addie

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,684
DFW
You need to find out why they want those policies. If you're talking M4A to someone who has decent work based insurance and is afraid to lose it, you could say that M4A would allow them to not have to change insurance if they switch/lose their job. Tell them it will help the economy by allowing more people to start new businesses because they don't need to worry about insurance. Let them know that some workers may retire earlier than 65 and open up more senior positions if they don't need to work for insurance. Just saying it's a human right is great for a certain segment of the population, but those aren't the ones you need to attract to expand a coalition. Bernie's failure was his inability to sell his ideas as a better way for everyone.
Fantastic points.

I've also gained a lot of traction with telling people that the idea of "choice" when it comes to health care is completely bonkers. You don't go on Yelp for doctors when you're having a heart attack, and even highly educated people don't understand what's in-network, out of network, co-pays, co-insurance.

I use my own example of saying, "I actually have socialized medicine. Let me explain how it works." (It's because I'm in the military, for the record.) I tell people that I'm notified when I'm overdue for vaccinations, and I show up with my ID card, and that's it. Medicine's free, whether it's for shoulder pain or therapy. I don't have to worry about networks, and not having that anxiety means that I'm more likely to seek treatment for something like bronchitis before it turns into pneumonia.

As far as health care goes, though -- no one actually loves their health insurance plan, even if it's decent; they're just afraid that the alternative would be worse.
 

Foffy

Member
Oct 25, 2017
16,376
Bingo. We have a community thread that constantly attacks Medicare 4 all. They constantly shit on the most progressive policy in history when it comes to healthcare. They then insult sanders supporters by saying things like "its pie in the sky" "it will never pass" "you need the senate!" like we don't know that this would be a difficult fight?

But you know what? I don't believe these attacks on M4A are done in good faith. They just don't want to share a doctors office with poor people. They don't want to change the system they have in place because it benefits them. Meanwhile people like me can't even afford a regular supply of insulin. They tell us that a moderate would be better for me, but uhh a moderate president left vulnerable people like me with absolute shit healthcare coverage. Its pie in the sky to believe Biden will help people like me lol.


This very concern showed up after Super Tuesday last week.

Unless I'm mistaken, nobody addressed the concerns that Biden is quite likely to continue the Obama period of allowing those at the bottom to suffer, and Biden supporters are somehow championing him as the savior America really needs. If people are comfortable with him replacing Trump and stopping that, that's one thing. But saying one of the top three worst candidates to run on the Dem side on the policy and historical front is the change America needs, you must be living a gilded life. It wasn't exclusively under Donald Trump that America became home to third-world conditions. The frontrunner is part of that legacy too.

That said, I don't think people on this forum at least really have aversions of being around "The Poors." There is a level of comfort, perhaps being familiar with the suffering of the past over the current suffering of today, and especially the unknown of the future by those who suggest massive change, but I genuinely doubt many people averse to radical change are the sociopathic Silicon Valley libertarian types who are only upset about homelessness because it makes their bus commute visually unappealing.

You also don't have to worry. While M4A is pie in the sky, Biden said he's gonna cure diabetes. Pitiful that there are people who do find that more likely...
 

SneakersSO

Banned
Oct 24, 2017
1,353
North America
So Corona virus...how is it going to impact poll turn out.

Not really a concern in the general as of right now. Too far off and no way to know how Corona will have shook out by then.

As for the Primary - who knows is probably the best answer, but the reality is Primary electorates are typically much, much lower than the GE or election itself. Maybe it eats into it, but it won't actually change the result as of right now.
 
Oct 25, 2017
8,276
Bingo. We have a community thread that constantly attacks Medicare 4 all. They constantly shit on the most progressive policy in history when it comes to healthcare. They then insult sanders supporters by saying things like "its pie in the sky" "it will never pass" "you need the senate!" like we don't know that this would be a difficult fight?

But you know what? I don't believe these attacks on M4A are done in good faith. They just don't want to share a doctors office with poor people. They don't want to change the system they have in place because it benefits them. Meanwhile people like me can't even afford a regular supply of insulin. They tell us that a moderate would be better for me, but uhh a moderate president left vulnerable people like me with absolute shit healthcare coverage. Its pie in the sky to believe Biden will help people like me lol.

Being convinced that people with different opinions are not acting in good faith is how serious rifts between groups who should be allies form.
 

SneakersSO

Banned
Oct 24, 2017
1,353
North America
Bingo. We have a community thread that constantly attacks Medicare 4 all. They constantly shit on the most progressive policy in history when it comes to healthcare. They then insult sanders supporters by saying things like "its pie in the sky" "it will never pass" "you need the senate!" like we don't know that this would be a difficult fight?

But you know what? I don't believe these attacks on M4A are done in good faith. They just don't want to share a doctors office with poor people. They don't want to change the system they have in place because it benefits them. Meanwhile people like me can't even afford a regular supply of insulin. They tell us that a moderate would be better for me, but uhh a moderate president left vulnerable people like me with absolute shit healthcare coverage. Its pie in the sky to believe Biden will help people like me lol.

Again - democrats are quick to adopt simply any position that will get them more votes. Moment it comes to deliver - they do nothing. Large reason why I am leaving the party and not voting for neoliberal candidates going forward, including Biden in the general.

My biggest issue with Biden is that not only will he not do anything but give more power to the DNC donor class (corporations/lobbyist), but this exact scenario will simply enable another GOP president & House/Senate that is potentially going to be just as bad as Trump is now, only without the bumbling dumbness of Trump. Trump with more subtlety and who abuses all thats available to him while also being somewhat effective? Its a terrifying thought. And, imo, we're headed for it.
 

Slayven

Never read a comic in his life
Moderator
Oct 25, 2017
93,024
Yep. Need to adapt the message for the audience. People who have experienced the history and the middle aged who learned extensively about the past will know their use to be a social safety net and know there's a reason it was taken away. Any messages that are pushing class unification needs to focus on what's being done to ensure it's not just white people who benefit. It also needs acknowledge that, while race and class are correlated in a great deal of things, the origins of racism are separate and distinct from economic concerns and need their own policies adapted to those issues. It does not need "white Mississippi republicans are not majority racist and if they only had a little bit of economic help they'd forget all the racial resentment and hatred.".
Warren was the best speaker on stage she could adapt a message and explain how different folks were effected differently by issues. She could swing from women being paid less to lack of wealth in the AA community.
 

SneakersSO

Banned
Oct 24, 2017
1,353
North America
What are you basing this out of? Do you have any polls or data that shows Trump polling ahead of Biden? Please share...

Ya'll truly underestimating this incumbency factor. You really wanna take polls after 2016 at face value? Seriously?

We're talking about a guy with the resources and the full backing of the GOP behind him, with the full power of the executive at his disposal, who knows that if he loses, his entire legacy could go up in flames, on top of finally being investigated for real. And a huge propaganda network doing everything in their power to ensure he wins.

Basically - I don't trust polls. Anyone who still does in the current political climate is a fool. And especially regarding Trump and in a GE matchup. Even if you take polls at face value, Biden & Trump is simply far too close for Trump not to gain a potential boost on election day, which he most certainly will.

On top of all this, anecdotally, I know of a ton of people who didn't vote in 2016 who have made it their absolute mission to get Trump re-elected in 2020, and in PA of all places. As for me? I'm a Bernie supporter who went Hillary in '16 in the general who ain't voting for Biden this time around. So yeah - winning this time, imo, is going to be even harder than it was last time.
 

Feep

Lead Designer, Iridium Studios
Verified
Oct 25, 2017
4,596
Ya'll truly underestimating this incumbency factor. You really wanna trust polls after 2016 at face value? Seriously?

We're talking about a guy with the resources and the full backing of the GOP behind him, with the full power of the executive at his disposal, who knows that if he loses, his entire legacy could go up in flames, on top of finally being investigated for real. And a huge propaganda network doing everything in their power to ensure he wins.

Basically - I don't trust polls. Anyone who still does in the current political climate is a fool. And especially regarding Trump and in a GE matchup. Even if you take polls at face value, Biden & Trump is simply far too close for Trump not to gain a potential boost on election day, which he most certainly will.
Ah, I see. Another person who does not understand statistics and representative sampling. Cool.
 

El Bombastico

Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
36,024

natjjohn

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,530

Deleted member 8561

user requested account closure
Banned
Oct 26, 2017
11,284
Ya'll truly underestimating this incumbency factor. You really wanna take polls after 2016 at face value? Seriously?

We're talking about a guy with the resources and the full backing of the GOP behind him, with the full power of the executive at his disposal, who knows that if he loses, his entire legacy could go up in flames, on top of finally being investigated for real. And a huge propaganda network doing everything in their power to ensure he wins.

Basically - I don't trust polls. Anyone who still does in the current political climate is a fool. And especially regarding Trump and in a GE matchup. Even if you take polls at face value, Biden & Trump is simply far too close for Trump not to gain a potential boost on election day, which he most certainly will.

On top of all this, anecdotally, I know of a ton of people who didn't vote in 2016 who have made it their absolute mission to get Trump re-elected in 2020, and in PA of all places. As for me? I'm a Bernie supporter who went Hillary in '16 in the general who ain't voting for Biden this time around. So yeah - winning this time, imo, is going to be even harder than it was last time.

I think I speak for everyone and thanking you for your support and great wisdom on this topic.

The polls weren't wrong, the polls were actually accurate as they did show the race tighten in the key states that Clinton lost. Polls were also on point in 2018.
 
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Stinkles

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
20,459
A wake up call for the "Biden is going to lose, he is just Hillary all over again!":


hillary had thirty years and millions of dollars spent marketing her as an evil Lying witch. Not the ordinary venal bullshit for regular politicians- but an intense gender focused deliberate and passionate and hateful effort to destroy her even before they thought she'd be a candidate. Biden's getting a concentrated blast of that via Hunter Burisma, who changed his name by deed poll from Swiftboat Benghazi.

is Hillary dishonest? Sure, but Hillary was also the single most scrutinized politician in history and one of the most expensive acts of personal destruction the GOP ever sponsored and it worked.



her "cookie recipe" quip was the GOP's Trump getting roasted by Obama moment. They started that day and never quit. She was a terrible candidate at least in part because of the fictional and FUD version the media continued to repeat. If Biden wins the nomination then he is just getting started with his cliff's notes version for 2020.

It's going to be ugly and the media is going to amplify it with complicity. Bernie too but his will be red scare baiting rather than scandal or innuendo.
 

Deleted member 25600

User requested account closure
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Oct 29, 2017
5,701
I think these numbers are getting worse exactly because most people don't think Bernie has a shot. What's left is his base.
Compared to polls a month ago there's been a huge shift. Which to me reinforces the stupidity of this entire process. This idea of "momentum" and a "narrative" that allows states that vote earlier to influence states that vote later is incredibly undemocratic.

Ideally it should be like a GE. Done in a single day, secret ballot (no caucuses), and preferrably ranked choice so it's always the majority of voters agreeing on a cantidate.
 

Stinkles

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
20,459
Ya'll truly underestimating this incumbency factor. You really wanna take polls after 2016 at face value? Seriously?

We're talking about a guy with the resources and the full backing of the GOP behind him, with the full power of the executive at his disposal, who knows that if he loses, his entire legacy could go up in flames, on top of finally being investigated for real. And a huge propaganda network doing everything in their power to ensure he wins.

Basically - I don't trust polls. Anyone who still does in the current political climate is a fool. And especially regarding Trump and in a GE matchup. Even if you take polls at face value, Biden & Trump is simply far too close for Trump not to gain a potential boost on election day, which he most certainly will.

On top of all this, anecdotally, I know of a ton of people who didn't vote in 2016 who have made it their absolute mission to get Trump re-elected in 2020, and in PA of all places. As for me? I'm a Bernie supporter who went Hillary in '16 in the general who ain't voting for Biden this time around. So yeah - winning this time, imo, is going to be even harder than it was last time.

If only there was something you personally could do to affect this predicted outcome.
 

Trey

Member
Oct 25, 2017
17,954
Compared to polls a month ago there's been a huge shift. Which to me reinforces the stupidity of this entire process. This idea of "momentum" and a "narrative" that allows states that vote earlier to influence states that vote later is incredibly undemocratic.

Ideally it should be like a GE. Done in a single day, secret ballot (no caucuses), and preferrably ranked choice so it's always the majority of voters agreeing on a cantidate.

All these systems have their pros and cons, simply the nature of the beast. It's certainly not undemocratic that people can be influenced by other states' results, and actually has the added benefit of seeing how candidates and campaigns respond to a shifting electorate.

While I agree that all primaries should happen on the same day, that has its drawbacks as well, and isn't inherently more or less democratic than a decentralized voting process.
 
Oct 25, 2017
8,276
Compared to polls a month ago there's been a huge shift. Which to me reinforces the stupidity of this entire process. This idea of "momentum" and a "narrative" that allows states that vote earlier to influence states that vote later is incredibly undemocratic.

Ideally it should be like a GE. Done in a single day, secret ballot (no caucuses), and preferrably ranked choice so it's always the majority of voters agreeing on a cantidate.

That would make Primaries insanely expensive and very difficult for anyone who doesn't have massive, pre-existing name recognition to compete in. I'm all for ranked choice, though.
 

bricewgilbert

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
868
WA, USA
Purity testing, the dictionary definition.

Nevermind that the chances of a Dem trifecta - and thus progressive legislation and SCOTUS nominees - increases substantially with Biden as the nominee; if it's not Bernie at the top of the ticket, then nothing matters.

Purity tests are a centrist buzzword that doesn't mean shit to me. You are asking the same thing every centrist and liberal has asked of the left for decades. To give up on the things that matter, kick them down the line. "Just wait!" No fucking thank you. The only reason any progress is actually made is when those "radicals" who came before said fuck the establishment and pushed for change. It wasn't easy and it didn't always work, but without those people who ignored those who told them to wait we wouldn't even have half of what we do now. It wasn't people choosing incrementalism. We would have even more if the politics and people you are pushing for weren't in the way in the first place.
 

Deleted member 8561

user requested account closure
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Oct 26, 2017
11,284
We need the numbers and historically we don't have them for a variety of reasons.



I care about good policies and correct moral thinking that rises to the challenge of our times. Warren, Biden and Trump in various ways have shown none of that so fuck them. I am a dick to people who deserve it. Pretty normal considering the stakes. Which doesn't really matter anyways cause when Bernie can't win he will endorse Biden. Even if all his supporters didn't want him to. Hell he keeps talking about endorsing him in the primary which is a stupid move.

So you're a dick to anyone who isn't a Sanders supporter? Like, I'm not sure how else to read this, especially when you throw Warren into the pile for some reason.
 

bricewgilbert

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
868
WA, USA


lol he spent that segment trying his fucking hardest not to talk about Biden's brain falling out. They even showed clips of liberals and candidates on MSNBC months ago talking about it to back up the question in the audience that was trying to get Sanders to say Joe has dementia and yet he still didn't bite. Saying Biden can't talk for more than 7 minutes is letting Biden off. Of course I would argue to go harder on him so I don't even agree wit the initial premise of the attack on Sanders, but he isn't even doing what people are saying he is doing.
 

Pixieking

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,956
Purity tests are a centrist buzzword that doesn't mean shit to me. You are asking the same thing every centrist and liberal has asked of the left for decades. To give up on the things that matter, kick them down the line. "Just wait!" No fucking thank you. The only reason any progress is actually made is when those "radicals" who came before said fuck the establishment and pushed for change. It wasn't easy and it didn't always work, but without those people who ignored those who told them to wait we wouldn't even have half of what we do now. It wasn't people choosing incrementalism. We would have even more if the politics and people you are pushing for weren't in the way in the first place.

Alternative take: A choice between a "true progressive" and a neo-nazi loving Republican would result in the Republican win.

I'm genuinely sympathetic - I'm 42 years old, and yet I can honestly see that before I die the ice-caps will be irrecoverably damaged, the South American rainforests will be destroyed, and water will become a scarce resource.

And yet I look at the UK, where Corbyn repeatedly refused to step-down, and think "Fuck me, yes, incrementalism would mean that there wouldn't be a sub-class of people who have to choose between food and heating, and where legitimate British citizens weren't deported to a country they have never seen in their lives". If you ask me if I would rather have an incrementalist Centre-Left/Left leader in power, or a Left/Socialist leader forever tilting at windmills, then I would say I'm not heartless, and would rather the lives of some of the most vulnerable were improved than a right-wing government continue to shit on the poors whilst making money.

Once again, I understand where you're coming from, but you have to see that "Bernie is the only one who can save us" 1) only works if a voting majority believes that, and 2) dismisses the needs of the many until that one moment when the stars align and everything can be improved for everyone.
 
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Deleted member 11637

Oct 27, 2017
18,204
her "cookie recipe" quip was the GOP's Trump getting roasted by Obama moment.

giphy.gif
 

Kusagari

Member
Oct 25, 2017
18,382
People vote based on the times. Obama was perfect for the time, two wars and a deeply unpopular President really had people pissed. He was young and vibrant and gave people hope, right around the time the economy went to shit. Obama was also a very savvy politician, which matters a lot.

But now we're at a time where people's faith in our institutions are at an all time low. People recoiling into "electability" makes some sense considering how uncertain things are, and how hated Trump is.

The funny thing is if you could implant 2020 Bernie, a known quantity with a nationwide campaign from the jump with at least a somewhat better understanding of how to appeal to parts of the party, into the 2016 race he actually might have won or at least made it a true contested convention.

In 2016, he was an insurgent who never actually had a winning campaign until it was too late. In 2020, nobody cared about the insurgent or outsider. They just wanted the best person to beat Trump.
 

Foffy

Member
Oct 25, 2017
16,376
Amy would kinda be a meh pick. I'm sure this isn't the only possibilities ofc. Thank god Pete isn't there lol.


No Yang makes me sad. He's perfect for Senior Advisor to Innovation. That was the same role when Biden was VP that we got our first serious governmental inquiry into automation. Alec Ross, who held that role, argued UBI would be seen as necessary with each successive election that it wasn't enacted.

Again, perfect for Yang. But I guess he can't run his UBI project if he's doing that too.
 

Toxi

The Fallen
Oct 27, 2017
17,547
lol he spent that segment trying his fucking hardest not to talk about Biden's brain falling out. They even showed clips of liberals and candidates on MSNBC months ago talking about it to back up the question in the audience that was trying to get Sanders to say Joe has dementia and yet he still didn't bite. Saying Biden can't talk for more than 7 minutes is letting Biden off. Of course I would argue to go harder on him so I don't even agree wit the initial premise of the attack on Sanders, but he isn't even doing what people are saying he is doing.
You do realize the Townhall was on Fox right?
 

Addie

One Winged Slayer
Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,684
DFW
No Yang makes me sad. He's perfect for Senior Advisor to Innovation. That was the same role when Biden was VP that we got our first serious governmental inquiry into automation. Alec Ross, who held that role, argued UBI would be seen as necessary with each successive election that it wasn't enacted.

Again, perfect for Yang. But I guess he can't run his UBI project if he's doing that too.
I like Yang a lot, but he shouldn't sniff VP at all. The three named possible picks are all acceptable in that they could step into the office of POTUS and govern based upon their prior experience. (That's why Pete's a complete non-starter: I also think Pete's self-aware and realizes he doesn't have the experience to do the job.) That's not Yang.

There absolutely should be a role for Yang, though.
 

carlsojo

Member
Oct 28, 2017
33,755
San Francisco
This is anecdotal but I talked to my family who are die hard Dems.

My dad isn't voting in the primary to avoid crowds and the coronavirus. He can't decide between Biden or Bernie. (I obviously reminded him to vote by mail...)

My little brother is voting for Bernie again.

My mom who's on maintenance chemo for the rest of her life probably is switching to Biden! Of all things it was the heart attack that changed her mind. I thought it was interesting since she was diehard for Bernie in 2016 and now switched to Biden even though she would obviously benefit from Bernie's healthcare plan more.
 

Deleted member 8561

user requested account closure
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Oct 26, 2017
11,284
Also, why is he on Fox... again???

Bro, you're in the Democratic Primary.... fucking act like it for once in your life.
 

Foffy

Member
Oct 25, 2017
16,376
I like Yang a lot, but he shouldn't sniff VP at all. The three named possible picks are all acceptable in that they could step into the office of POTUS and govern based upon their prior experience. (That's why Pete's a complete non-starter: I also think Pete's self-aware and realizes he doesn't have the experience to do the job.) That's not Yang.

There absolutely should be a role for Yang, though.

I read the tweet incorrectly. I thought it was far reaching enough to just be about his cabinet. Of course he doesn't belong anywhere near VP.

Neither does Klobuchar.
 
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