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Servbot24

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
43,138
My final prediction on Warren is she waits to endorse someone until a couple more weeks and someone (likely Biden) has a massive lead.
Endorsing Sanders would be politically pointless since he is not going to win, and even if he did she would not be his VP. Endorsing Biden gives her a shot at the position.
 
Aug 12, 2019
5,159
Tulsi goddamn Gabbard is the third last Democratic candidate standing. She's awful as a person and a candidate, but like, there's some joy in seeing that insanity continue and the fact she managed to get even 1 delegate is just amazing.
 

Uncle at Nintendo

▲ Legend ▲
Member
Jan 3, 2018
8,598


biggest failure for the bernie campaign was not explaining that not all dems don't support popular left wing policies in the party
 

DrewFu

Attempted to circumvent ban with an alt-account
Banned
Apr 19, 2018
10,360
Endorsing Sanders would be politically pointless since he is not going to win, and even if he did she would not be his VP. Endorsing Biden gives her a shot at the position.
I agree 100%. She should endorse Biden today. It shouldn't even be a question for her. But I have a feeling she won't want to harm her progressive image. Just a complete guess by me.
 

Nerokis

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,567
my (100% speculative) guess is that Warren doesn't endorse anyone

instead, she gives a speech asking her supporters to seriously consider who has the more progressive policies, who will genuinely fight for the kind of change they need, and sort of split it both ways such that she 1) begins to lay the groundwork for pushing Biden left and 2) gives Bernie a little more room to take the mantle

either that or she has a moment of extreme moral clarity and goes all out supporting Bernie
 
Oct 25, 2017
2,202
he has more appeal to more people, that is his electability. He has stronger support than sanders in NC, FL, MN, and likely PA and MI when those come in. The window has been moved to the left, Biden would have the most progressive platform to date of any President. Maybe it's not asleft as you would like, but lives will be saved, the environment will be better protected, and more people will have access to healthcare. You don't think those matter or are wins?


Hey man, Quid Pro Joe is catchy and they don't need any good ideas.
I don't think the most progressive nations are doing enough when it comes to the environment. I've seen his platform. It's barely anything.

I get what you are saying, but I don't agree with you on him having appeal to more people. At least not if they were coming from an informed position.
 

Chubnasty

Banned
Sep 26, 2019
712
Is the path to a Bernie nomination completely closed? It seems like it with how he is polling in Florida and the other remaining big states.
It's only a month from the Iowa caucus. People who are calling for one person unity are discounting the Democratic process and are telling states that vote after Super Tuesday they don't matter.
 
Oct 25, 2017
3,215
With a half decent chance of flipping the Senate now, Biden might get his public option. In addition, he aims to force drug prices down to what they cost overseas. Not exactly m4a is it? Still better than what we have now.

Does his Public Option extend to Employer plans? Like does he plan on forcing the Public Option to be offered as an alternative plan by Employers and have equal subsidies?
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220


biggest failure for the bernie campaign was not explaining that not all dems don't support popular left wing policies in the party

So anecdotes vs polling here:
9394-Figure-1.png


Conclusion: People just want fucking some plan other than doing nothing.
 

Azzanadra

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,806
Canada
With a half decent chance of flipping the Senate now, Biden might get his public option. In addition, he aims to force drug prices down to what they cost overseas. Not exactly m4a is it? Still better than what we have now.

Public option sounds like its going to be trash. Low-tier hospitals and doctors for outlandish premiums.... most people will just prefer their work insurance. Public option only works if an overwhelming amount of people choose it, which they won't.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515


biggest failure for the bernie campaign was not explaining that not all dems don't support popular left wing policies in the party



Someone posted this the other night with no evidence backing it up, and this perston tweeting this has a link to donate to Sanders in that very tweet thread. Not exactly reliable.
 

Ziltoidia 9

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,141
The thing that would take Bernie to get the nom would be a massive blunder from Biden and Bernie showing older voters he is electable. And it all has to happen before Florida. Hell if he doesn't preform well in Michigan then it won't even matter.
 

julian

Member
Oct 27, 2017
16,786
They'll do it to anyone. The difference is there's no preconceived negative image of Biden for the fake scandals to play off. It wasn't the emails or leaks that sank Hillary, most when actually examined were toothless nothings, what they did was feed and play off already negative impressions of her based on decades of demonization by the right. People on both sides already disliked her, all the constant reports of scandals just furthered it. People don't dislike Biden. He's has never been demonized his entire career, and in his most visible role, was a popular, well liked VP.
They're starting from zero this time. Not to mention Trump was (however nonsensically) considered an unknown in 2016. Not so much now, people have had to see him screeching on TV every day for years, every headline revolving around him. Don't underestimate the desire of the average voter to have a safe, stable president they can go most of the time not even thinking about, let alone seeing on TV.
I know most of us didn't buy into the Ukraine scandal, but that's a real thing the public heard about for months on end and they're going to hear about even more now. That's not starting from 0 - far, far from it.
They're going to do it to anyone, though. I don't see the benefit to worrying about how they'll try to smear someone. McConnell just yesterday declared all the Dem nominees were socialist lmao.

It's the same shit different day with them.
I don't disagree. I was pointing out that the GOP has a scandal where they say Joe should be investigated and possibly arrested over already. That's all I was responding to. Not that he's unique in this regard of being demonized or anything.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515
Public option sounds like its going to be trash. Low-tier hospitals and doctors for outlandish premiums.... most people will just prefer their work insurance. Public option only works if an overwhelming amount of people choose it, which they won't.


We might get the chance to find out.
 

Deleted member 6122

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
533
Sanders is going to win fuck what you heard
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia. So much doom and gloom in here, you think Bernie can't hit him hard enough to come back from this?
 

Steel

The Fallen
Oct 25, 2017
18,220
Does his Public Option extend to Employer plans? Like does he plan on forcing the Public Option to be offered as an alternative plan by Employers and have equal subsidies?
Giving Americans a new choice, a public health insurance option like Medicare.
If your insurance company isn't doing right by you, you should have another, better choice. Whether you're covered through your employer, buying your insurance on your own, or going without coverage altogether, the Biden Plan will give you the choice to purchase a public health insurance option like Medicare. As in Medicare, the Biden public option will reduce costs for patients by negotiating lower prices from hospitals and other health care providers. It also will better coordinate among all of a patient's doctors to improve the efficacy and quality of their care, and cover primary care without any co-payments. And it will bring relief to small businesses struggling to afford coverage for their employees.

From Biden's website.
 

Terrysaur

Member
Jun 14, 2019
240
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia.

Hell of a theory you got there. I think Joe is at the very least competent enough to get through a few debates without doing something so outlandish that it becomes a media tag.
 
Jun 20, 2019
2,638
They probably will be at the next Trump rally. They definitely will be at the Republican convention. Some amoral entrepreneurs are probably printing up lawn signs and t-shirts as we speak.
 

thewienke

Member
Oct 25, 2017
15,957
Is the path to a Bernie nomination completely closed? It seems like it with how he is polling in Florida and the other remaining big states.

I think everyone is working on old assumptions about how Bloomberg and Warren will split and whether or not narratives will shift.

The remaining states seem like Biden strongholds but there's such a lack of information out there since so many people have dropped.

I'm hoping that we'll get some polls this weekend to show where we're at now that we're down to two candidates.
 

Chubnasty

Banned
Sep 26, 2019
712
Sanders is going to win fuck what you heard
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia. So much doom and gloom in here, you think Bernie can't hit him hard enough to come back from this?
I look forward to Sloppy Joe and Comrade Sanders debating each other.
 

Br3wnor

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
4,982
Progressives can, at least, hold Biden accountable and pressure his administration.

Guys, if Trump wins re-election we are going to have a 7-2 Conservative Supreme Court by the time he's done. That will literally roll back progressive laws and policies that we ALREADY HAVE back decades. And it will be able to do so for decades to come.

That is all you need to vote for Biden, even if you think he's not progressive enough.
 

ostrichKing

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,468
Sanders is going to win fuck what you heard
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia. So much doom and gloom in here, you think Bernie can't hit him hard enough to come back from this?
It is near impossible that Bernie somehow wins states that he was killed in by Hillary four years ago. The rest of the map is not Bernie friendly and polls are looking ugly. Have you seen Florida? If he's not viable (or only barely) in Florida...how is he going to win the nomination?
 

carlsojo

Member
Oct 28, 2017
33,843
San Francisco
Sanders is going to win fuck what you heard
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia. So much doom and gloom in here, you think Bernie can't hit him hard enough to come back from this?

Why would Biden even go to the debate at this point?
 

Anoregon

Member
Oct 25, 2017
14,047
It's only a month from the Iowa caucus. People who are calling for one person unity are discounting the Democratic process and are telling states that vote after Super Tuesday they don't matter.

It's not that they don't matter, it's that all available information shows they strongly favor one candidate.
 

Whirlpool

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
144
Is the path to a Bernie nomination completely closed? It seems like it with how he is polling in Florida and the other remaining big states.

No, definitely not.

The race right now is actually pretty close. What's looking bleak is that Biden has a lead that appears as if it's going to expand. But upsets happen and polls have been wrong. Biden being in the place he is now is proof of that. And Bernie winning Michigan in 2016 is proof of that.

All in all, Bernie's position isn't nearly as bad as Biden's looked like a couple weeks ago. Odds are very likely that Biden will take the nomination, but it's not like Bernie has no chance or is in a position like he should drop out.
 

Kirblar

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
30,744
He got more votes in these states this year than he did in 2016. 150,000 more in Texas alone.
Overall turnout was up. Bernie got 150K more votes and his voter share still went down. 33.19 in 2016 to 29.9 in 2020. That's bad.

It's the exact thing that happened in the UK in 2017. The youth vote was at unprecedented numbers, but it didn't end up making a difference because every other demographic also increased by massive amounts, completely offsetting them.
 

Thordinson

Member
Aug 1, 2018
18,081
Public option sounds like its going to be trash. Low-tier hospitals and doctors for outlandish premiums.... most people will just prefer their work insurance. Public option only works if an overwhelming amount of people choose it, which they won't.

I'm wondering if businesses will drop their healthcare plans with a public option available. It'll save them money to just give you the money to go on the public option or to just not offer anything altogether.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515
I'm sad that we'll never get to see Warren v Trump in a debate. We need a designated hitters rule.
 

Orb

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
9,465
USA


biggest failure for the bernie campaign was not explaining that not all dems don't support popular left wing policies in the party

let's be real here, almost everyone who votes doesn't know shit about the policy differences in candidates within a party

people are going to vote for Biden because "oh hey I saw him standing next to Obama a lot"
 

ostrichKing

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,468
Guys, if Trump wins re-election we are going to have a 7-2 Conservative Supreme Court by the time he's done. That will literally roll back progressive laws and policies that we ALREADY HAVE back decades. And it will be able to do so for decades to come.

That is all you need to vote for Biden, even if you think he's not progressive enough.
This. It has to be screamed loudly and repeatedly. I get people want progressive legislature in the future...but don't kill the past because you feel Biden isn't "progressive enough"...SCOTUS would be fucked for a generation.
 
Jun 20, 2019
2,638
Overall turnout was up. Bernie got 150K more votes and his voter share still went down. 33.19 in 2016 to 29.9 in 2020. That's bad.

It's the exact thing that happened in the UK in 2017. The youth vote was at unprecedented numbers, but it didn't end up making a difference because every other demographic also increased by massive amounts, completely offsetting them.
Maybe talk to the people saying he got less votes?
 
Oct 27, 2017
767
Guys, if Trump wins re-election we are going to have a 7-2 Conservative Supreme Court by the time he's done. That will literally roll back progressive laws and policies that we ALREADY HAVE back decades. And it will be able to do so for decades to come.

That is all you need to vote for Biden, even if you think he's not progressive enough.

Yep!

I saw some people talk about a hypothetical future Democratic President stacking the court, as though a 7-2 stacked with ideological nut jobs won't find a way to declare that illegal before it even gets to happen.

Then there's the fact that bringing the court back from that sort of deficit would be amazingly difficult. Possession of the White House / Senate is generally cyclical, so you'd need an incredible run of good fortune in order to be able to swing the court to a liberal majority when the right has that sort of advantage.

Then there's the reality that the Democrats would have to veer considerably to the right, firstly to win elections in a country that twice opted for an extreme-right President, secondly to be able to promise tangible legislation that won't immediately get killed by an overwhelmingly hostile court. No point running on healthcare or restoring gay marriage or abortion rights - promising any would be the sign of a fundamentally unserious candidate.
 
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Lentic

Member
Oct 27, 2017
4,836
Why? The only chance of what you and her are fighting for getting passed in government is if Dems win in the fall. She's pragmatic and sees the bigger picture. Splintering the party further isn't gonna do anything to help in the fall.
Sure, but the primary isn't over yet, so it makes sense to support the one more closely aligned. If Biden ends up winning, she can still throw her support behind him.
 

greelay

Member
Oct 26, 2017
154
Sanders is going to win fuck what you heard
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia. So much doom and gloom in here, you think Bernie can't hit him hard enough to come back from this?
Biden doesn't have to go back on to the debate stage until after the next round of primaries. And the media will absolutely be able to ignore the fact that Joe is going downhill.
 

Kirblar

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
30,744
No, definitely not.

The race right now is actually pretty close. What's looking bleak is that Biden has a lead that's appears as if it's going to expand. But upsets happen and polls have been wrong. Biden being in the place he is now is proof of that. And Bernie winning Michigan in 2016 is proof of that.

All in all, Bernie's position isn't nearly as bad as Biden's looked like a couple weeks ago. Odds are very likely that Biden will take the nomination, but it's not like Bernie has no chance or is a position like he should drop out.
Bernie needs to be campaigning his ass off in Florida right now, because the race is effectively over if he's nonviable there.
 
Aug 12, 2019
5,159
Probabl,y but I don't think Trump is going to be able to run on this as hard as he did for Hillary and sell bumper stickers with Joe Biden for Prison on them.

You underestimate Trump's penchant for calling people he doesn't like criminals, and he still has the Burisma stuff he and the Republicans are going to clearly leverage.

Why would Biden even go to the debate at this point?

What? Biden not going to the debate would absolutely be dumb. It would make him look weak and piss off a lot of people.
 
Oct 25, 2017
11,090
No, definitely not.

The race right now is actually pretty close. What's looking bleak is that Biden has a lead that's appears as if it's going to expand. But upsets happen and polls have been wrong. Biden being in the place he is now is proof of that. And Bernie winning Michigan in 2016 is proof of that.

All in all, Bernie's position isn't nearly as bad as Biden's looked like a couple weeks ago. Odds are very likely that Biden will take the nomination, but it's not like Bernie has no chance or is a position like he should drop out.
This is will all end in three weeks if Bernie does as bad as the polling suggests in Florida. They can wait a little longer for the process to play out.
 

Volimar

volunteer forum janitor
Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,515
I'm wondering if businesses will drop their healthcare plans with a public option available. It'll save them money to just give you the money to go on the public option or to just not offer anything altogether.


Probably not. Employer based insurance is how a lot of companies retain staff despite being awful places to work.
 

Ithil

Member
Oct 25, 2017
23,390
Sanders is going to win fuck what you heard
Now that it's one on one the Joe oppo is going to start coming fast and furious, the debates are going to be a complete joke, and the media won't be able to ignore the fact that Joe pretty obviously has some sort of dementia. So much doom and gloom in here, you think Bernie can't hit him hard enough to come back from this?
Bernie is going to lose, no matter how many mental health slurs you throw out.
 
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