Yeah.
1/5th? The Switch has sold over 10 million units in the US I believe compared to the PS4 that is around 27-28 million. That's not even close to 1/5th.What's insane is a system with 1/5th the overall sales already the fifth best selling game of 2018...excluding digital sales.
I think he's saying that the Switch has 1/5 as many consoles sold as the PS4 does currently. Given that, any Switch exclusive game outselling games that are available to 5 times as many people is a big feat.1/5th? The Switch has sold over 10 million units in the US I believe compared to the PS4 that is around 27-28 million. That's not even close to 1/5th.
That's true but many used that as a sign that their games were no longer big system sellersYeah, but Nintendo's games on those systems still had insane attach rates.
I know what he is saying but you can't compare the sales numbers of the Switch worldwide to the PS4 when you're talking about how a game sold in just one region. His statement was that they had the 5th best selling game of the year on 1/5th the numbers when that isn't the case b/c this isn't worldwide numbers. It's US. So in that case the Switch is actually closer to 1/2 the sales of the PS4.I think he's saying that the Switch has 1/5 as many consoles sold as the PS4 does currently. Given that, any Switch exclusive game outselling games that are available to 5 times as many people is a big feat.
1/5th? The Switch has sold over 10 million units in the US I believe compared to the PS4 that is around 27-28 million. That's not even close to 1/5th.
Agreed. Over 1/3 of Switch owners in the US bought Smash already. Very impressive.
Did you mean 6-7 units for Vita?predictions for 2019:
ps4 and xbox one: under 5m each
switch: over 6m
3ds: under 1m
vita: 6-7m
Um, I don't think we have confirmation that that is true even if we are counting just 1st Party. Spider-Man was certainly the best selling 1st Party PS4 title of 2018, but not LTD for the whole system as far we know. It also came in 3rd behind Red Dead Redemption 2 and Black Ops 4 for 2018.I hadn't realized that Spider-Man wasn't just the best selling PS4 game of the year, but the best selling PS4 game overall. It beat Uncharted 4.
Yeah, wouldn't be shocked if those three games are all over half a million. Especially since DK sales in Japan are probably at most 300k of the 1.5 million reported before the holidays.
My Prediction for the Games:
4 Million<
Mario Kart 8 Deluxe
Super Mario Odyssey
Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild
Super Smash Bros. Ultimate (4m with digital, 3.6m physical)
3 Million<
Pokémon Let's Go(combined, probably just over 3m with digital)
2 Million<
Splatoon 2 (closing in on 3m, maybe over with digital)
1 Million<
Super Mario Party (though very high, probably ~1.75m... maybe with digital above 2m?)
Mario + Rabbids
750k<
ARMS
500K<
Donkey Kong Country TF
Mario Tennis Aces
Kirby Star Allies
Pokken Tournament
Xenoblade Chronicles 2 (remember, this launched over 250k last December)
250k<
Octopath Traveler (very close to 500k, maybe over w/ digital?)
Captain Toad
Fire Emblem Warriors
Hyrule Warriors DX
Labo 01 Variety
100k<
Bayonetta 2
Labo 02 Robot
Amazing how we go from Nintendo being doomed one generation to knocking it of the park the next.
They have a good blueprint on what to follow. I think they can be iterative on the Switch, unlike the Wii.Wow, amazing #s.
Gamecube to Wii
WiiU to Switch
I hope they break the trend with the Switch successor :/
The NX will have big shoes to fill.
Um, I don't think we have confirmation that that is true even if we are counting just 1st Party. Spider-Man was certainly the best selling 1st Party PS4 title of 2018, but not LTD for the whole system as far we know. It also came in 3rd behind Red Dead Redemption 2 and Black Ops 4 for 2018.
The Uncharted 4 number is only through January 2017 according to the reference on Wiki and I was assuming we were talking about US sales in an NPD thread.Perhaps it's not accurate, but Wikipedia says the same thing: List of best-selling PlayStation 4 video games
Is it reasonable to assume that Smash Ultimate is the best selling game of 2018 if digital sales were recorded?
Is it reasonable to assume that Smash Ultimate is the best selling game of 2018 if digital sales were recorded?
1.77m per MagicPork.Sorry to ask but I haven't been keeping up with this thread, do we have any estimates to how many units Switch sold in December?
predictions for 2019:
ps4 and xbox one: under 5m each
switch: over 6m
3ds: under 1m
vita: 6-7m
Agreed. Over 1/3 of Switch owners in the US bought Smash already. Very impressive.
Yeah you''re right. It probably is around 5 million.you mean nearly 1/2. number in op lacks bundles and digital sales
Don't forget the Pro and X. On that note, that statement must be about revenue right? The PS4 can't be up YoY in unit sales.
Actually it was worse. Ignoring those who said Switch will reach WiiU sales at best, hardly anyone said it would reach Wii Sales level. When Kimishima at some point (when Switch was just starting to take off) mentioned Switch and "Wii like sales" in the same sentence, most forum goers ridiculed him.I still remember when people said that nintendo would be lucky if it reaches Wii like sales. So here we are. 150M lifetime sales doeant look too unrealistic now. Hopefully they do iterative upgrades like what smartphone makers do.
I had to take a look through that thread to see what I said at the time... not the worst:it must continue:
https://www./threads/betting-time-do-you-think-the-switch-will-be-a-success.1333545/
"It isn't going to do so hot in the mid-2017 period, but that doesn't mean it is fully out. Nintendo has managed to pull a console around like the 3DS. The core concept of the console is still appealing as well."
"Not enough people are thinking long term enough here. I think the floor is N64 and max is 3DS. Probably around 8 million sold world wide this year."
"I think I was low on the max side and probably the amount sold this year, but not the worst prediction. I'd adjust my prediction to the floor being SNES and the max being GBA. It could reach Wii numbers if they make modular adjustments to it or continue to make SKU changes and upgrades."
"This is a repost from another thread also, but I think it clarifies a bit why there was such a negative reaction to the live reveal and why most of those worries haven't been justified... yet.
Many of the initial worries have been quelled.
1. High price of entry: Has yet to be an issue in most of the major regions. It will need a price drop eventually, but it is doing fine at $300 right now.
2. Zelda as the only launch title: Worked out fine. Nintendo knew they had something special on their hands with Zelda and they let it do the rest of the work.
3. Paid online/funky voice app: Rumors out of Japan have the paid online priced at ~$25 a year, which is pretty reasonable. We have yet to see how the rest of their online will function through the app, this could be a legit worry.
4. Not enough support from 3rd party publishers and weak 2017 lineup: I think Nintendo solved this in two ways, they actually paced out their line up very well on the 1st party side, then they had the Nindies direct right before launch that showed how they were going to fill in gaps between their tent pole releases. They also aren't blowing their entire load in the first year, which gives them plenty to work with moving forward. They may not have traditional 3rd party support yet, but it could come eventually if the system sells well initially (and it has).
5. High accessory prices: This hasn't really proved to be much of an issue yet, at least it isn't taken into account by many when they are thinking of buying the system. This could change as the bigger multiplayer titles are rolling out now with Mario Kart etc.
I think holding the system makes all the difference. It has a natural appeal and it will be easy to market it. The system itself is designed to be viral. You can demonstrate its versatility to someone in person very easily and play multiplayer with them right on the spot. Anecdotally, I am now personally up to 3 friends that never had a Wii U that got a Switch in its first month."
Is it reasonable to assume that Smash Ultimate is the best selling game of 2018 if digital sales were recorded?
I hate to be that guy (not to be confused with Thatguy [the user]), but did we get any VR vittles? I'm not holding my breath.
Oh sure, Nintendo pretty much operates on their own schedule at this point anyway. Just to be clear though my comment wasn't a dig at the PS4 or Xbox, I just think it's cool that upgrade hardware has had such a big impact.True but then again, the Switch is literally Nintendos 2nd try for the same generation.