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Deleted member 176

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
37,160
Sure! Ill take that bet. Seems heavily skewed against me but Im that confident in how terrible a large portion of american voters are (republican+independents). They value the status quo above all.
Yup. I hope I win but more for the hope in out society reasons than anything else lol

thanks for being a good sport
 

Sunster

The Fallen
Oct 5, 2018
10,017
Good for him!

I already cast my primary ballot for Warren, but I would be fine with voting for Sanders.

I'm not totally convinced it won't be Biden anyway despite one good poll result, but trends start with outliers.

Also don't think Sanders or Warren picking the other one as their VP is the best idea, though I think Sanders-Warren makes more sense than Warren-Sanders.


Clinton wanted to run on a UBI program but determined the tax increases required to fund it would have been lethal politically. I don't think future Democrats, even of the establishment stripe, embracing UBI is that out of the question.
Yeah this is my line of thinking right now. But years from now? It will literally become necessary and everyone in washington will know it, to maintain our current economic system unless a dem led government makes big changes to it. and that's a lot less likely to happen given the US track record of waiting until disaster strikes to make changes IE another great recession or even a depression. UBI we be like life support for the brand of capitalism we have here in the US. It will keep the status quo going for x amount of years.
 

Bad_Boy

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,624
bernie will come out with another scandal/smear soon, the other dems hate to see it.

lets go #bernie2020
 

Pomerlaw

Erarboreal
Banned
Feb 25, 2018
8,536
I don't get ERA Bernie haters, just as I don't get Berniebros.

Can't you people take some moderating pills!?
 

Deleted member 203

user requested account closure
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
4,899
Once republicans start attacking Sanders using his own words, declaring himself a socialist on national TV through thousands of ads it will be all over. His poll numbers will drop and absolutely nothing can be done about it. A large number of Americans really hate socialists, doesn't matter what their ideas are, they just wrongly see socialists as a threat to their way of life. It's pathetic but there is nothing we can do about it. Maybe if Sanders was young and attractive then that could undo it because also sadly, attractiveness also has a huge effect on who people choose to vote for.
If you straight up give up the fight on the overton window and allow rhetoric to be shaped by right-wingers exclusively, leftists will lose every single future election ever.

Anyway I'm pretty sure the Dems would literally rather lose than nominate an actual progressive. Hope I'm proven wrong.
 

Bad_Boy

Banned
Oct 25, 2017
3,624
could warren be bernies vp pick if nominated?
in the past, hes hinted toward his vp pick being female and younger.

Michelle Obama would be a wild card, but i don't think she would accept the offer. Probably from biden she would.
 

RailWays

One Winged Slayer
Avenger
Oct 25, 2017
15,674
Good shit.
Gives me hope that beating Biden may be possible.

Also fuck the haters, I still yearn for a Sanders/Warren ticket.
 

Eoin

Member
Oct 27, 2017
7,103
If you're polling in the single-digits you shouldn't be on the debate stage or on the primary ballot imo.

Serious candidates only please.
Seems fair to exclude single-digit candidates from debates at this stage, yes. Probably a few of the previous rounds as well. Realistically, no matter how good the ideas that those candidates might have and no matter how much money they might be able to throw around, polling on 5% less than two weeks before in-person voting begins when there's candidates polling above 20% isn't a winning position.

I'm not sure I'd ever agree that they shouldn't be on the ballot though. That seems like it'd give pollsters a real opportunity to do some very shady things.

The Bernie/Warren or Warren/Bernie "dream team" tickets have always been pretty silly to me, those two would be much more effective in a different capacity than being kinda wasted as a VP.
In terms of political effectiveness in office, you're absolutely correct. Warren would be better in a different position, and having her as VP would be kind of a waste.

However, if it gets them into office that might be worth it. Having Warren as VP would send several clear messages - it'd show that Sanders can work with opponents, it'd make Warren the first woman to be VP (it's nowhere near what she or her supporters want, but it's still a step forward), and it'd give Sanders a high-profile surrogate. It'd make it clear to Democrats that the party supporters wanted progressive politics. In a sensible world it would also prevent the accusations of sexism against Sanders, but...this isn't a sensible world, so the most it might do there would be to lower the volume of those accusations. Overall, the perceptual effect on the campaign might be worth having even if the executive results weren't.

I don't think Sanders will would go with Warren as candidate for VP - I think he'd pick someone else and then later think about what kind of role Warren might play in a Sanders presidency. I also agree with you that VP wouldn't be the most effective way for Warren to spend the next four to eight years. However, if the ticket ended up that way, it could end up being a good idea anyway.
 

KrAzEd

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,015
Brooklyn, NY
The Bernie/Warren or Warren/Bernie "dream team" tickets have always been pretty silly to me, those two would be much more effective in a different capacity than being kinda wasted as a VP.

Not necessarily. Bernie has talked about possibly having VP having the additional role as Secretary of treasury. The president really sets the bar for how much power the VP has. Look at Bush! Cheney was the one running the country.
 

xenocide

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,307
Vermont
Good point.

Here's another poll, since people keep saying "one poll thread" OP.

UshioRulz
Note Bernie does extremely well with black voters here, further on in the thread.


That SurveyUSA poll is not great. Not least of which because it severely oversampled people under 50 years old--in that poll 56% of respondents were 18-49, when in a Presidential Election year it's closer to 40-45% and in a midterm year it's below 40%. A full 31% of the people polled were in the 18-34 category, which is the least politically engaged age group there is--there's no evidence that age group could even clear 20% of the electorate in an election, 18-30 was 19% in 2012 and 2016, and 18% in 2008. Unless we're about to see a tsunami of 31-34 year olds, I have a hard time taking those results seriously.
 

BowieZ

Member
Nov 7, 2017
3,974
He's trending up in Early State and Super Tuesday polls as well
[...]

This data is portentous.

According to the Consult's methodology, the '... "Super Tuesday Voters" demographic consists of 4,073 voters in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.'

It's a very good result for Bernie with an exceptional confidence level.

And so, if Bernie does particularly well in the early states, and then holds those numbers, or better, leading up to (or on) Super Tuesday, we are going to see fireworks...
 

Dierce

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,993
Yup. I hope I win but more for the hope in out society reasons than anything else lol

thanks for being a good sport
Definitely! With you there and hoping for the best.
If you straight up give up the fight on the overton window and allow rhetoric to be shaped by right-wingers exclusively, leftists will lose every single future election ever.

Anyway I'm pretty sure the Dems would literally rather lose than nominate an actual progressive. Hope I'm proven wrong.
It's more about anticipation. Of course right wingers will always attack the democratic candidate and accuse them of being socialist or whatever other word that they find demeaning. And those attacks generally do work which is why they keep relying on them. It is just my personal opinion that it would be harder for republicans to attack and label Warren effectively compared to Sanders.
 
Oct 27, 2017
16,573
If you're polling in the single-digits you shouldn't be on the debate stage or on the primary ballot imo.

Serious candidates only please.
This. It's why Klobuchar getting the push from so many directions annoying as fuck.
of course they hate Bernie, they are rich.
Yup.
Bernie/Abrams ticket?
I still don't get why everyone is going crazy over Abrams except for the fact she black, a women and young. I'd hope he'd pick someone that aligns more with him since a VP would have the best chance to succeed a president and I don't want to move too far back.
 

etrain911

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,813
Definitely! With you there and hoping for the best.

It's more about anticipation. Of course right wingers will always attack the democratic candidate and accuse them of being socialist or whatever other word that they find demeaning. And those attacks generally do work which is why they keep relying on them. It is just my personal opinion that it would be harder for republicans to attack and label Warren effectively compared to Sanders.

They already attack and label Warren. She lied about her indigenous heritage since the 80's and wound up with a lot of egg on her face over the DNA test. Trump already frequently calls her "Pocahontas" and I think that will be her undoing.
 

xenocide

Member
Oct 25, 2017
5,307
Vermont
I still don't get why everyone is going crazy over Abrams except for the fact she black, a women and young. I'd hope he'd pick someone that aligns more with him since a VP would have the best chance to succeed a president and I don't want to move too far back.

She's incredibly smart and passionate. She has great positions on the issues, and could excite voters in a region Democrats could use a boost in--GA/NC/FL. She's an incredibly charismatic candidate who basically only lost because of election fraud in Georgia. Also, she is really involved with grass roots organizations that have far reaching GOTV efforts.
 

MazeHaze

Member
Nov 1, 2017
8,579
I am very excited! Omg what if Bernie becomes President? Up until recently I've been thinking of it as some outlandish dream scenario and have been pretty convinced it's gonna be Trump v. Biden with Trump winning.
 

Dierce

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,993
They already attack and label Warren. She lied about her indigenous heritage since the 80's and wound up with a lot of egg on her face over the DNA test. Trump already frequently calls her "Pocahontas" and I think that will be her undoing.
I just don't think that those are effective attacks. Of course Warren messed up by acknowledging them.
 

nintendoman58

Member
Oct 25, 2017
4,110

Once republicans start attacking Sanders using his own words, declaring himself a socialist on national TV through thousands of ads it will be all over. His poll numbers will drop and absolutely nothing can be done about it. A large number of Americans really hate socialists, doesn't matter what their ideas are, they just wrongly see socialists as a threat to their way of life. It's pathetic but there is nothing we can do about it. Maybe if Sanders was young and attractive then that could undo it because also sadly, attractiveness also has a huge effect on who people choose to vote for.

There is very little point in deciding against a candidate because "Republicans will attack him". Republicans will literally attack every candidate who ends up as the nominee.

Good campaigning can overcome those kinds of attacks.

A candidate's worth should not be judged by how the opposition media will attack them. Their worth comes from how they campaign and how they sell their message.
 

Jroc

Banned
Jun 9, 2018
6,145
She will always be a better choice than Sanders, but America can't handle a woman in the White House. Which isn't so surprising given how the country is decades behind its peers on social issues, but it's still very disappointing.

I don't get how you can say that when H Clinton (one of the most controversial modern politicians) won the popular vote and almost won the election.
 

jml

Member
Mar 9, 2018
4,783
I still don't get why everyone is going crazy over Abrams except for the fact she black, a women and young. I'd hope he'd pick someone that aligns more with him since a VP would have the best chance to succeed a president and I don't want to move too far back.
I'd like Barbara Lee, the only real knock against her is that she's not young. With warmongering over Iran potentially being a big story this year I think she'd be a great pick to point to and say "she's been right about this shit this entire time"
 

Deleted member 11046

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
942
This is reassuring news. I'd absolutely prefer Warren but Sanders is a close consolation. Either of them over Biden.
 

PeskyToaster

Member
Oct 27, 2017
15,314
Seems fair to exclude single-digit candidates from debates at this stage, yes. Probably a few of the previous rounds as well. Realistically, no matter how good the ideas that those candidates might have and no matter how much money they might be able to throw around, polling on 5% less than two weeks before in-person voting begins when there's candidates polling above 20% isn't a winning position.

I'm not sure I'd ever agree that they shouldn't be on the ballot though. That seems like it'd give pollsters a real opportunity to do some very shady things.

To me, it's a primary. It's not an official election, it's just the current mechanism for how two parties in our current system choose their candidate for the actual election. The parties themselves should be able to make the rules for how their candidate is chosen and if they want tighter restrictions (through whatever means, it doesn't have to be strictly driven by polls of course) then so be it I guess. Anyone should be able to run for President if they meet the constitutional requirements but the parties should be free to decide their own candidate any way they want.

I think really the only way we do it this way is because it keeps your potential candidates in the news cycle for two years and the media loves the long horse race.
 

Deleted member 24149

Oct 29, 2017
2,150
Biden's campaign is a walking shambling corpse and Bernie needs to keep on climbing. There's no way a campaign that has been described as

...lackluster, his speeches dull and meandering, and his crowds comparatively small. I've been to memorial services that are more exciting. I certainly hope mine is.

By guy who constantly loves to write about trump county Robert Leonard can maintain any enthusiasm and bring a democratic win.
 
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