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Will we do enough to save the planet?

  • Yes

    Votes: 181 10.5%
  • No

    Votes: 1,548 89.5%

  • Total voters
    1,729

Airegin

Member
Dec 10, 2017
3,900
We just need a dozen more posters to point out that the planet will be fine but humanity won't be.
 

MegaBeefBowl

Member
Oct 31, 2017
1,890
I'm in the camp of "It'll only be solved if we stumble into a magic bullet solution"

The world will never undergo the structural changes to actually fight climate change.
 

ruggiex

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,078
No matter what policy or tech advancement, the amount of stuff people buy and waste everyday tells me no.
 

abellwillring

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,907
Austin, TX
Not a chance. The coal industry from the 2016 election and beyond is enough to show it's frankly a lost cause. Coal is more expensive and less efficient than renewable energy and is an incredibly small job sector (only 50k coal mining jobs in the US) and yet it was a massive outsized issue that remains a talking point to this day. Even when you bring in the entire coal power sector, it's a smaller job market than renewable energy and again, it's more expensive. If an economic winner that is significantly better for the environment can't win, nothing can.
 

bombermouse

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,056
China also emits more pollution than the US and EU combined.

They also produce most of goods consumed in US and EU.

Also, the average American pollutes 4 times more than the average Chinese, and that's not even counting the carbon footprint of all the goods they import. So, Americans and Europeans should stop blaming China and take responsibility of their unsustainable lifestyle.
 

dabig2

Member
Oct 29, 2017
5,116
Good companion article for the thread. It's a somewhat beefy one, so spare some time. It goes through a lot of different things from talking about the measure of DOOOOOOM/optimism we use to some cold hard science.


[...] If we had peaked and begun steadily reducing emissions 20 years ago, the necessary pace of reductions would have been around 3 percent a year, which is ... well, "realistic" is too strong — it still would have required rapid, coordinated action of a kind never seen before in human history — but it was at least possible to envision.

We didn't, though. We knew about climate change, there were scientists yelling themselves blue in the face, but we didn't turn the wheel. Global emissions have only risen since then. Humanity has put more CO2 in the atmosphere since 1988, when climate scientist James Hansen first testified to Congress about the danger of climate change, than it did in all of history prior.

Now, to hit 1.5˚C, emissions would need to fall off a cliff, falling by 15 percent a year every year, starting in 2020, until they hit net zero.


A lot of climate activists are extremely averse to saying so. In fact, many of them will be angry with me for saying so, because they believe that admitting to this looming probability carries with it all sorts of dire consequences and implications. Lots of people in the climate world — not just activists and politicians, but scientists, journalists, and everyday concerned citizens — have talked themselves into a kind of forced public-facing optimism, despite the fears that dog their private thoughts. They believe that without that public optimism, the fragile effort to battle climate change will collapse completely.

I don't think that's true, but I can't claim to know it's not true. Nobody really knows what might work to get the public worked up about climate change the way the problem deserves. Maybe advocates really do need to maintain a happy-warrior spirit; maybe a bunch of dour doomsaying really will turn off the public.

But it is not the job of those of us in the business of observation and analysis to make the public feel or do things. That's what activists do. We owe the public our best judgment of the situation, even if it might make them sad, and from where I'm sitting, it looks like the 1.5˚C goal is utterly forlorn. It looks like we have already locked in levels of climate change that scientists predict will be devastating. I don't like it, I don't "accept" it, but I see it, and I reject the notion that I should be silent about it for PR purposes.

In this post, I'll quickly review how 1.5˚C came to be the new activist target and some reasons to believe it might already be out of reach. Then I'll ponder what it means to admit that, what follows from it, and what it means for the fight ahead.
First, it's not that progress is swinging around too slow, it's that there's very little progress at all. For all the frenzy around renewable energy in recent years, the best we've been able to do is slightly slow the rise in global emissions. We're still traveling headlong in the wrong direction, with centuries of momentum at our backs.

Secondly and consequently, the level of action and coordination necessary to limit global warming to 1.5˚C utterly dwarfs anything that has ever happened on any other large-scale problem that humanity has ever faced. The only analogy that has ever come close to capturing what's necessary is "wartime mobilization," but it requires imagining the kind of mobilization that the US achieved for less than a decade during WWII happening in every large economy at once, and sustaining itself for the remainder of the century.

Emissions have never fallen at 15 percent annually anywhere, much less everywhere. And what earthly reason do we have to believe that emissions will start plunging this year? Look around! The democratic world is in the grips of a populist authoritarian backlash that shows no sign of resolving itself any time soon. Oil and gas infrastructure is being built at a furious pace; hundreds of new coal power plants are in the works. No country has implemented anything close to the policies necessary to establish an emissions trajectory toward 1.5˚C; many, including the US and Brazil, are hurtling in the other direction.
Coping with the tragic story of climate change
What bothers me about the forced optimism that has become de rigueur in climate circles is that it excludes the tragic dimension of climate change and thus robs it of some of the gravity it deserves.

That's the thing: The story of climate change is already a tragedy. It's sad. Really sad. People are suffering, species are dying off, entire ecosystems are being lost, and it's inevitably going to get worse. We are in the midst of making the earth a simpler, cruder, less hospitable place, not only for ourselves but for all the kaleidoscopic varieties of life that evolved here in a relatively stable climate. The most complex and most idiosyncratic forms of life are most at risk; the mosquitoes and jellyfish will prosper.

That is simply the background condition of our existence as a species now, even if we rally to avoid the worst outcomes.
Hope in the face of tragedy
Saying that we are likely to miss the 1.5˚C target is an unpopular move in the climate community. It solicits accusations of "defeatism" and being — a term I have heard too many times to count — "unhelpful."

Such accusations are premised on the notion that a cold assessment of our chances will destroy motivation, that it will leave audiences overwhelmed, hopeless, and disengaged.

But the idea that hope lives or dies on the chances of hitting 1.5˚C is poisonous in the long-term. Framing the choice as "a miracle or extinction" just sets everyone up for massive disappointment, since neither is likely to unfold any time soon.

As climate scientist Kate Marvel put it, "Climate change isn't a cliff we fall off, but a slope we slide down." Every bit makes it worse. No matter how far down the slope we go, there's never reason to give up fighting. We can always hope to arrest our slide.

Exceeding 1.5˚C, which is likely to happen in our lifetimes, doesn't mean anyone should feel apathetic or paralyzed. What sense would that make? There's no magic switch that flips at 1.5˚C, or 1.7, or 2.3, or 2.8, or 3.4. These are all, in the end, arbitrary thresholds. Exceeding one does not in any way reduce the moral and political imperative to stay beneath the next. If anything, the need to mobilize against climate change only becomes greater with every new increment of heat, because the potential stakes grow larger.


And companion video of course!
 

kubev

Member
Oct 25, 2017
7,533
California
Not a chance. Regardless of what anyone does to stop climate change, there are far too many people and entities working against them with far more potential impact.
 

The Albatross

Member
Oct 25, 2017
38,939
No, climate change will not be stopped in its tracks.

The question is really if the affects of climate change can be slowed, and then what the ultimate affect on the ecosystems and human societies on the planet.
 
Oct 27, 2017
7,450
Nope, won't be stopped.

Last I read the issue isn't so much climate change, more the speed of climate change so at this stage it becomes about how to slow it down.
 

Deleted member 8166

Account closed at user request
Banned
Oct 26, 2017
4,075
I mean if you look at ResetEra and see the negativity and that a lot people have given up before even starting to fight...

would you think we can get to the "max 1.5 degree more" goal?
 

BlackJace

The Fallen
Oct 27, 2017
5,450
I think we'll get there at some point, but there's going to be a multitude of devastating events until then.

It's going to hurt, and it's going to keep hurting, but with things like this, we as a species need to feel that hurt in order to spur us into action.

Numbers on a chart and fancy graphics aren't nearly as convincing as your house being on fire, and they never will be.

So yes, I'm hopeful. But people are gonna die and/or be displaced, that's for sure.
 

Hasseigaku

Member
Oct 30, 2017
3,537
Seriously .

Given the amount of DOOOOM! On these threads I half expect someone to suggest i should strangle my neighbours newborn son because apparently it is more mercifull then any potential future he may have.

Posts like this and the quoted are extremely unhelpful and unnecessary. You are more than welcome to believe differently than many people in this thread but framing it as if it's just people following some kind of hivemind (I thought we were over this shit) or advocating violent death of innocents. Many of us who are pessimistic have come to that through a lot of thought and reflection---I do not relish living with the belief that my nieces and nephews will live in a severely degraded world.

It is also possible to be pessimistic and still believe in and work towards doing everything in our power to mitigate the catastrophes we expect to be ahead. It's not like the choice is between a near-religious belief in the ability of technology to save us and becoming a prepper in a dark cave, gun pointed at the door.

In fact, I very rarely express my beliefs on these matters and the reasons for those beliefs anywhere but here because, honestly, it's not fun.
 

Ziltoidia 9

Member
Oct 25, 2017
6,140
Well I feel Climate Change will occur what ever we do (it just happens because of a lot of factors) but our imprint is being left on the planet so the goal is for us not to have one so that we arn't the cause of our own demise. Even a few degrees change will cause massive adjustments that will be needed, when you are working with such small amounts of variables, we have to do all we can to not negatively affect it.
 

Maxim726x

Avenger
Oct 27, 2017
13,039
It'll be a thousands-year journey. It'll get worse before it gets better, but humanity will survive, technology will still progress, and the carbon levels will eventually go down as we switch to clean energy and natural processes or human intervention will lower the carbon in the atmosphere. Biodiversity will take a massive hit by the end of it.

Yeah, this.

Wealthy people will survive, everyone else is fucked.

Once we start seeing widespread drought and famine, is when things will change. A lot of the damage will be done but it's not an extinction level event... As much as some here make it out to be.
 

maxxpower

Attempted to circumvent ban with alt account
Banned
Oct 25, 2017
8,950
California
At this point it's not so much stopping it (too much profit in fossil fuels), but reversing it.
 
Oct 27, 2017
16,532
Lol no.

The planet is fucked. Humanity is greedy and self serving and will not sacrifice things for the good of future generations.
This. It's so damn heartbreaking cause it's simple but we'll never do it. If we can't solve climate change how can we ever expect to solve income inequality or fighting back against racism. I know we never will.
 

Deleted member 18944

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
6,944
Also, the average American pollutes 4 times more than the average Chinese,

Cool point, don't see how that's relevant.

So, Americans and Europeans should stop blaming China and take responsibility of their unsustainable lifestyle.

I'm not sure I understand what your point is. You can hold accountable a country that pollutes more than a country and a collective of countries do while also holding accountable that country and that collective of countries accountable as well.
 

dapperbandit

Member
Oct 30, 2017
1,162
Going green in Europe and north America is really inadequate, China and India need to cut their shit massively. Too fucking bad if they're trying to industrialise. But they won't because they'll continue to pay their workers peanuts and western companies and consumers will continue to prefer cheap shit.
 

Geoff

Banned
Oct 27, 2017
7,115
Cool point, don't see how that's relevant.



I'm not sure I understand what your point is. You can hold accountable a country that pollutes more than a country and a collective of countries do while also holding accountable that country and that collective of countries accountable as well.

China and India only pollute more because the west has outsourced their industry and other pollutants to these countries and other developing nations. We have literally outsourced emissions. So when the west looks at their reducing emissions and says 'we're doing our bit' it's bollocks because global emissions haven't reduced, they've just moved.

This is why there is now a big push to calculate emissions based on consumption rather than where the emissions are geographically.
 

Terrell

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,624
Canada
We just need a dozen more posters to point out that the planet will be fine but humanity won't be.
Are they wrong though? Reframing the discussion less around the disconnected and abstract notion of "saving the planet" that most human beings clearly don't give enough of a shit about to a discussion about not bringing about humankind's own destruction seems like a small change in the dialogue, but it is an important one.
They also produce most of goods consumed in US and EU.

Also, the average American pollutes 4 times more than the average Chinese, and that's not even counting the carbon footprint of all the goods they import. So, Americans and Europeans should stop blaming China and take responsibility of their unsustainable lifestyle.
Yup.
Yeah, this.

Wealthy people will survive, everyone else is fucked.

Once we start seeing widespread drought and famine, is when things will change. A lot of the damage will be done but it's not an extinction level event... As much as some here make it out to be.
So we would downgrade things to humanity becoming an endangered species. So much better.
Cool point, don't see how that's relevant.



I'm not sure I understand what your point is. You can hold accountable a country that pollutes more than a country and a collective of countries do while also holding accountable that country and that collective of countries accountable as well.
The point is that a massive part of China's contribution to climate change is fueled by global consumption and bringing them up is used as a way for shitty people to unburden their own responsibility for China's outsized carbon footprint and lay it on the country itself, rather than American and European industry pinching pennies by fleeing restrictive environmental protections.
While one can certainly say that the lax standards carry part of the problem, laying the blame at production export countries to absolve oneself of responsibility is a farce that deserves to be called out at every opportunity.
 

geardo

Member
Oct 27, 2017
1,316
I've just accepted that if I have kids they're going to be eventually fighting for the glory of Valhalla on the fury road.
 

take_marsh

Member
Oct 27, 2017
7,241
On a smaller level: the individuals can change their habits and that's great, but you won't get anywhere without wealth redistribution. If your living paycheck to paycheck, the last thing you're going to give a shit about is how you can help slow climate change. That's a lot of people not giving a shit.

I've seen people say that companies/corporations making the changes is profitable, but it's a long-term plan. No company shareholder wants to wait 10-30 years to profit from their investment.
 

bombermouse

Member
Oct 25, 2017
2,056
The point is that a massive part of China's contribution to climate change is fueled by global consumption and bringing them up is used as a way for shitty people to unburden their own responsibility for China's outsized carbon footprint and lay it on the country itself, rather than American and European industry pinching pennies by fleeing restrictive environmental protections.
While one can certainly say that the lax standards carry part of the problem, laying the blame at production export countries to absolve oneself of responsibility is a farce that deserves to be called out at every opportunity.

Thank you for explaining that so well.
 

Pomerlaw

Erarboreal
Banned
Feb 25, 2018
8,536
Only if there is money to be made doing it.

There is. It's just that the old bastards don't want to let go. Their time will come.

The population of the world is 7+ billion and getting larger by the day, The world can't sustain such a large population (without major significant lifestyle changes). As already pointed out, mankind is too greedy and too needy to do anything until it's beyond saving.
It makes me sad to feel my daughter is growing up in a world that is dying..

There is not a population "point" where the Earth can't sustain the human population anymore. It is always moving. It all depends on the knowledge and progress we make. The Earth was never sustainable for decent human life. The biosphere by itself is cruel and could wipe us at any moment. Only our progress made it sustainable for something else than mere survival. This progress can continue if we choose to.

Be strong for your daughter. Saying the world is dying is speculation on your part, the future ain't set. Yes the Earth is sick but there is still much life out there. Fight for what is left! Life will rebound one day or another.
 

Staticneuron

Member
Oct 25, 2017
1,187
The point is that a massive part of China's contribution to climate change is fueled by global consumption and bringing them up is used as a way for shitty people to unburden their own responsibility for China's outsized carbon footprint and lay it on the country itself, rather than American and European industry pinching pennies by fleeing restrictive environmental protections.
While one can certainly say that the lax standards carry part of the problem, laying the blame at production export countries to absolve oneself of responsibility is a farce that deserves to be called out at every opportunity.


That is certainly not what is happening. That issue doesn't have to do with "environmental protections" at all and more to do with average cost of living and profits. Especially in the case of America. Nearly everything imported to America can actually be sourced within the country but that would raise the prices across board for many items, introducing a change in lifestyle that would not be welcomed by the average citizen. The harming of the environment is a sidenote but one that is disturbing because it shows how self serving people and corporations will continue to be until the shit hits the fan.
 

Astronut325

Member
Oct 27, 2017
5,948
Los Angeles, CA
Serious question:
How should governments reduce carbon emissions of their nations? Mandate all electricity be renewable within the next 5 years? Ban the sale of ICE motor vehicles now and ban use entirely in 10 ? Put a quota on the number of flights per day/week/month/year? Put quotas on meat consumption? Limit sale/ownership of electronics? Ban single use anything?
 

Deleted member 18944

User requested account closure
Banned
Oct 27, 2017
6,944
So when the west looks at their reducing emissions and says 'we're doing our bit' it's bollocks because global emissions haven't reduced, they've just moved.
While one can certainly say that the lax standards carry part of the problem, laying the blame at production export countries to absolve oneself of responsibility is a farce that deserves to be called out at every opportunity.

Again, who is making this point in this discussion? The OP I was replying to stated that China is our last hope, and I said they aren't. I didn't say "well China is the only one to blame" and that the west is acting like they're doing their bit, which we know is bollocks.
 

dabig2

Member
Oct 29, 2017
5,116
Are they wrong though? Reframing the discussion less around the disconnected and abstract notion of "saving the planet" that most human beings clearly don't give enough of a shit about to a discussion about not bringing about humankind's own destruction seems like a small change in the dialogue, but it is an important one.

Yup.

So we would downgrade things to humanity becoming an endangered species. So much better.

The point is that a massive part of China's contribution to climate change is fueled by global consumption and bringing them up is used as a way for shitty people to unburden their own responsibility for China's outsized carbon footprint and lay it on the country itself, rather than American and European industry pinching pennies by fleeing restrictive environmental protections.
While one can certainly say that the lax standards carry part of the problem, laying the blame at production export countries to absolve oneself of responsibility is a farce that deserves to be called out at every opportunity.


Indeed. 2018 report on why this matters, why it's an actual loophole in terms of our CO2 mitigation plans, and a ton of charts, graphs, and data. I heavily suggest people read and digest reports like these to get a better understanding of the very complex relationships and history at play here.

The carbon loophole refers to the embodied greenhouse gas emissions associated with production of goods that are ultimately traded across countries. These emissions are a growing issue for global exports to decarbonize the world economy. Embodied emissions in trade are not accounted for in current greenhouse gas accounting systems.1 If they were, many promising climate trends would be negated or reversed. For example, many achievements of reducing emissions by developed countries under the Kyoto Protocol would actually appear as emissions outsourced to developing countries.

This report aims to provide a newly updated analysis of the carbon loophole, also known as imported consumption-based or embodied emissions, at the global level. Using the Eora global supply chain model, along with additional data, our analysis surveys global trends and does a deep dive into the countries and sectors most implicated in the carbon loophole. This report presents the latest available data (sourced from the Eora model with data year 2015, presented for the first time in this report) and paves the way for regular updates in analysis of the carbon loophole in the future.

[...] While virtually all goods carry with them some embodied emissions, two goods in particular stand out as heavily traded and carbon-intensive - also known as emissions-intensive trade-exposed (EITE) goods: steel and cement. The report looks closely at the embodied CO2 associated with the international trade of these two goods. The steel and cement sectors together represent over 10% of global anthropogenic CO2 emissions. We find that steel and clinker (a carbon-intensive intermediate product of cement) are mostly traded across very long distances outside of their region of production, while half of the cement trade is also extra-regional. In addition, world clinker trade has an embodied carbon footprint almost equal to that of cement itself. China, while slowing down as 'the world's factory', is still by far the biggest exporter of embodied emissions in steel. Meanwhile, embodied emissions from India have grown rapidly, with the U.S. as the largest recipient of embodied emissions in Indian goods.
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Terrell

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,624
Canada
That is certainly not what is happening. That issue doesn't have to do with "environmental protections" at all and more to do with average cost of living and profits. Especially in the case of America. Nearly everything imported to America can actually be sourced within the country but that would raise the prices across board for many items, introducing a change in lifestyle that would not be welcomed by the average citizen. The harming of the environment is a sidenote but one that is disturbing because it shows how self serving people and corporations will continue to be until the shit hits the fan.
It's actually both of those things. China became what it is because it had a perfect storm of low cost of living, lax environmental protections and an insanely large potential labour force. At the time when China exploded as the destination for manufacturing and assembly, no other country could match all 3 factors, and most still can't. But for the context of this discussion, lax environmental regulations is the factor in play. And it applies to ALL the countries that are production export countries like them in varying degrees, such as India, Indonesia, Bangladesh and others. China is merely the biggest player because of that previously-mentioned trifecta.
 

Karateka

Member
Oct 28, 2017
6,940
The fight against climate change is lost really
We need to decrease pollution and simultaneously develop tech to scrub the carbon from the environment
Some is in development but nowhere near feasible on a large scale
 

Terrell

Member
Oct 25, 2017
3,624
Canada
Again, who is making this point in this discussion? The OP I was replying to stated that China is our last hope, and I said they aren't. I didn't say "well China is the only one to blame" and that the west is acting like they're doing their bit, which we know is bollocks.
Except he's right. With American industry definitely not interested in doing anything about China's contribution to climate change at their behest, the only one who can force the issue with any expediency is China itself. I'm not convinced that it will happen, that's for damn sure, but China holds a shit-ton of power wrt forcing a lasting solution, that cannot be denied.
 

a916

Member
Oct 25, 2017
8,808
Something like this requires universal whole sail sweeping changes. None of which are in motion in a world were things get bogged down with politics/policies/budgetary concerns....

We're not even remotely close to taking this seriously.

I'm voting no.
 

Idde

Member
Oct 27, 2017
3,654
Serious question:
How should governments reduce carbon emissions of their nations? Mandate all electricity be renewable within the next 5 years? Ban the sale of ICE motor vehicles now and ban use entirely in 10 ? Put a quota on the number of flights per day/week/month/year? Put quotas on meat consumption? Limit sale/ownership of electronics? Ban single use anything?

The Dutch supreme court basically told the Dutch government it has to do more to reduce carbon emissions. To 25 percent less than it was in 1990. Before the end of 2020. Now we're sitting at a 21 percent reduction I believe. It will be interesting to see how that will be achieved.