-
Ever wanted an RSS feed of all your favorite gaming news sites? Go check out our new Gaming Headlines feed! Read more about it here.
Atlantic Hurricane Season 2020 |OT| Tropics don't care
- Thread starter perfectchaos007
- Start date
- OT
Isaias is a few days from forming. Track currently unknown, definitely something to keep an eye on if you're in the southeastern US like me.
OP
OP
Yeah it looks like it may hit the bahamas then skirt the east coast.
Thats to far out to actually say, Right now the main concern is for Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico after that is still up in the air especially with the way models have been going this year.
Latest Euro model
Last edited:
The dreaded I storm of the year. Definitely one to watch closely.
The models that came out today are looking like it just hooks into the Atlantic and misses everything but obviously it's still pretty early.
And the Euro has it completely dissipating before heading toward the Gulf.
Models haven't been that accurate this year and they aren't that accurate before there is a closed circulation.
Wait till nhc guidance before anything.
Wait till nhc guidance before anything.
Remember when Gonzalo was supposed to be a hurricane and Hanna was only supposed to be a tropical storm? Too early to tell the track, especially right now.
Because of its large size, speed and dry air, 92L is taken a long time to organize, this could be good in the long run and might not be able to gain too much strength before it hits land but could gain strength quickly if it consolidates, islands should be watching it for later this week with a potential east coast US landfall early next week.
Models are doing their windshield wiper effect with the storm and currently taking it more west last few runs. Still no real agreement between the 2 main models.
Models are doing their windshield wiper effect with the storm and currently taking it more west last few runs. Still no real agreement between the 2 main models.
Damn you, Hanna! Wife and I had an Airbnb booked in Rockport (something like a 4 hour drive from Austin, so would have been just a stop for gas each way basically) for Thursday and Friday night.. was going to be our first time out of the house more or less in months. Fortunately the host let us move the reservation until later in August at no cost which was a huge relief.
At least it doesn't seem like it'll be that strong in florida, also a daytime storm which I greatly prefer.
There is still a lot of uncertainty with the storm until it forms, It still could get stronger before it hits land, that much time over water anything can happen.
Recon planes are out so hopefully the added data will help the models.
Recon planes are out so hopefully the added data will help the models.
OP
OP
There's also a lot of dry air and wind shear, it's got a lot to overcome
This is my concern as well. Any more west and we're looking at a Mississippi/south Louisiana hit box.
Lol. Nothing like "yes let's fuck up the people in Haiti so nothing happens in my home"
This will kill hundreds or more in Haiti. Come on.
Yep the path of this thing is going in the exact wrong direction. Want it to bend more before it gets to all the islands there. Instead it looks like it may push further west and wind up in the gulf which is bad news all around.
A low-grade tropical storm will kill hundreds?
The alternative is that it goes north instead and becomes a much stronger TS and the strongest part goes over the Bahamas.
The problem with Haiti is the terrain and rains. A tropical storm maybe even wetter than a Hurricane. The mudslides could potentially kill hundreds and it has happened in the past. There is no good choice with nature but saying "here's hoping" is not a good look. A Bahamas track doesn't need to be potentially as bad especially with higher shear forecast at some point. Worst case scenario is it slides under the islands and ends up in the gulf.
Yes considering Haiti floods easily due to it's mountainous terrain drawing out all the moisture of any tropical system. They flood almost every year and even a weak tropical storm is enough to absolutely devastate them.
The only "good" side by the same process that the mountains also rips the low level circulation to shreds that even big Hurricanes can get destroyed and never recover if they cross it.
Thanks for the info. I rescind my original statement and will just say "let's hope for the best" instead.
Recon plane going out, see if PTC9 has gotten more organized since the last mission.
Also wave off Africa looking pretty good, would be funny if this stole Isaias after watching PTC9 for this long
Also wave off Africa looking pretty good, would be funny if this stole Isaias after watching PTC9 for this long
I gotta say, the people hoping for Isaias to hit Mar-a-lago cause "lol fuck Trump" are fucking idiots. Other people live there too. Fuck off Twitter.
Shifted back east a bit and still not a TS. Most models keeping it weak thankfully too. That one Cat 4 outlier is wild.
Which is why Florida is closing all their COVID testing centers from Thursday until Tuesday. No tests, no COVID!
Recon plane going out, see if PTC9 has gotten more organized since the last mission.
Also wave off Africa looking pretty good, would be funny if this stole Isaias after watching PTC9 for this long
Eesh.