I live in PA. My wife and I are both voting for Biden and we are doing it in person. So is my brother and sister-in-law. So theres 4 votes for ya.
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According to 538's Current Election Forecast As of Sept 28th, If Trump Loses PA. His Chances of Winning are essentially over.
- Thread starter platocplx
- Start date
The act 3 is if Trump gets covid in dies. Covid is the gun, introduced in act 1.
I'm scared for PA. Philly Suburbs that always lean blue, and there are so many huge Trump signs. Like not a little campaign sign, but 4' x 8' sign stretched between two fence posts. The only thing that brings me hope is thinking to be in the cult, you need a big obnoxious sign, and everyone without one is a Biden supporter.
The thing about the Trump yard signs is to remember that Trump has been campaigning and selling MAGA signs for 4+ years for this election. Also incumbents usually have a natural "yard sign advantage" because many voters save their signs from previous elections, while the challenger is usually fresh every 4 years.
I ordered a Biden sign from the campaign and it took like a month to deliver it too.
Gerrymandering is the phrase used to describe drawing up complicated House districts (or at the local level, like city council district seats) for some partisan advantage. For state-wide elections like senate, governor, and president, the entire state is the district.
Sometimes people use 'gerrymandering' as a blanket term for any sort of electioneering fuckery, but it's usually explicitly used around house district maps.
I ordered a Biden sign from the campaign and it took like a month to deliver it too.
Gerrymandering is the phrase used to describe drawing up complicated House districts (or at the local level, like city council district seats) for some partisan advantage. For state-wide elections like senate, governor, and president, the entire state is the district.
Sometimes people use 'gerrymandering' as a blanket term for any sort of electioneering fuckery, but it's usually explicitly used around house district maps.
I get this feeling, but just a reminder that Bernie Sanders had the largest crowds in the primary by a large margin.So he's gonna lose then.
But the crowds of Trump supporters in PA scares me.
And Biden kicked the shit out of him.
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Here's how tight 2016 was
Clinton lost PA by .7%, WI by .8% FL by 1.2% Michigan by .2%
Democratic Margin of victory in PA was 5.4 % Margin in 2012, 6.9% margin in WI, 9.5% in MI and .9% in Fl
Its kind of crazy of a swing people really really did not like clinton. its crazy. I feel like people came out to just vote against her. in a lot of the states other than WI voting numbers were up.
Im really really curious to see how this plays out a swing from 2012 to 2016 was crazy and now i feel the swing back is people voting against trump more than voting for Biden its like the trump effect in reverse I feel right about this. Seeing everything from then to now. PA will definitely be a place that they are trying as much fuckery as possible.
A landslide is like statistically impossible at this point. Your gut is wrong.
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pennsyltucky for a reason. The Cities are what saves it.
Yup. this is why they are doing everything to impede PA.
The polls do not support this at all. If anything it's very likely that there will be a Biden landslide.
It only affects your individual district by it's nature. It draws the district line to minimize the potential count of opposition voters.
Well, have no fear that isn't possible.
A win is still possible... But a lot of things have to go Trump's way. And again, if Trump loses PA it's basically over. With better polling, we'll have more information.
Can confirm. I live in the middle of it. Trump flags fucking everywhere.
I live in the Philly suburbs and there are no Trump signs in my area. Like, at all. Even driving around other suburban counties, I've hardly seen any Trump signs. It's primarily been fields of Biden signs and signs for local/PA Dems.
I just moved to PA. Registered to vote on Friday.
Can't wake to help break the back of the Trump Campaign.
Edit: don't worry about yard signs. Trump supporters are super enthusiastic, but are outnumbered by. Dems and independents. If people show up, we'll win and they'll just have worthless signs and merch.
Can't wake to help break the back of the Trump Campaign.
Edit: don't worry about yard signs. Trump supporters are super enthusiastic, but are outnumbered by. Dems and independents. If people show up, we'll win and they'll just have worthless signs and merch.
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YUP! get people you know out there to the polls! kick some ass in PA!
I've certainly tried, and have had some good success with at least getting people to register for mail-in ballots given PA finally moved over to a model that didn't require an excuse to get one. The current worry is our Republican legislature trying to fuck with the Governor in some way, or some sort of outside GOP lawsuit.
PA can be VERY backwoods depending on the area. The old joke is you have Philly on one side, Pittsburgh on the other, and Kentucky in the middle, which is very true but also misses how pervasive that redneck mindset is up and down the Scranton-WB metro and into the Lehigh Valley to Allentown. There's a lot of shit people here. I mean, I'm sure there's a lot of shit people everywhere but at least the Confederate flag wavers in Georgia can correctly guess what side their state fought for in the Civil War.
It's a bummer to be a in a state that is locked in as Republican, but I'll definitely be voting just as hard regardless.
I'll be there bright and early come November 3rd, though I'm increasingly considering dropping by during the early voting period to avoid the COVID-19 crowds.
they're dragging their feet
im having a hard time getting through the process.
On their website there are 4 stages. They allow you to see where you are in the process. Mine has yet to begin. It says this
We are unable to match your information with our records.
You may edit your information and try your search again or you may contact your county election office to confirm the status of your ballot.
I asked a while ago and its being held up as are others near me
for the love of god.....if you're in Pennsylvania get your ballot VERY VERY early. Its going to take a long time if you ask for one mid October you are not gonna get it.
im having a hard time getting through the process.
On their website there are 4 stages. They allow you to see where you are in the process. Mine has yet to begin. It says this
We are unable to match your information with our records.
You may edit your information and try your search again or you may contact your county election office to confirm the status of your ballot.
I asked a while ago and its being held up as are others near me
for the love of god.....if you're in Pennsylvania get your ballot VERY VERY early. Its going to take a long time if you ask for one mid October you are not gonna get it.
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I know I'm being overly paranoid, but is there any fuckery that can take place in early voting? I'm not voting by mail because FL already fucked that up in 2018.
I have a pretty large family in PA. We're all voting Biden.
registered to vote this year:
- my 68 year old mom
- my 44 year old sister
my younger brother and sister are voting for the first time since 2008.
registered to vote this year:
- my 68 year old mom
- my 44 year old sister
my younger brother and sister are voting for the first time since 2008.
Hmm...I'm in Chester County, and pass four signs just on my 15 minute drive to work. 2 are neighbors, so it's overwhelming on that stretch of road. Don't see and Biden signs.
I'm hoping we get the wombo combo of PA and FL going blue so that the election is basically over before the midwest states even close up the polls.
Polls have had Biden maintaining roughly a +5 or +6 lead for a while now. And I don't think there's any amount of fuckery the GOP can do that would overcome that gap.
Please people for the love of God, vote.
Polls have had Biden maintaining roughly a +5 or +6 lead for a while now. And I don't think there's any amount of fuckery the GOP can do that would overcome that gap.
Please people for the love of God, vote.
I see these quite frequently in the suburbs of Connecticut. It's easy to let anecdotal evidence influence your perspective.
The warning sign for the Midwest in 2016 was that Sanders was beating Clinton in a lot of these states. People took it as a sign that the working class rust belt was coming home to the left but it was just that people don't like Clintons around here. We can see after the wave of blue flips in 2018 and then Biden demolishing Sanders in the 2020 primary. Biden is a much stronger candidate for the area than Clinton and when you add in Covid, political scandals, and everything else, we now have pretty steady Biden leads throughout the region.
The safest way is to following the directions exactly. We must leave no excuse for any ballot to be thrown out. You sign it correctly, you date it correctly, you fill in the bubbles exactly as told. Not a stray mark or toe out of line. Get the ballot by mail and then turn it in in-person to ensure that it is counted if you don't trust the mail to get it there on time. But yeah. Follow the damn instructions on the form.
And if you don't trust the mail to even get a ballot then I think you can go to the clerks and get one if there is early voting. Else it's election day!
My wife just took a trip to Lancaster county, and said there are Trump flags everywhere. There was even a Trump parade of vehicles decked out in Trump crap. Oh, and a roadside pop-up shop of Trump merchandise.
Has there ever been a president with this much enthusiasm from their base? They worship him like a god.
Also someone please correct me if I'm reading things wrong, but going by 538, just like Trump, Biden nearly requires PA to have a chance at all.
Has there ever been a president with this much enthusiasm from their base? They worship him like a god.
Also someone please correct me if I'm reading things wrong, but going by 538, just like Trump, Biden nearly requires PA to have a chance at all.
however he will have appointed 3 supreme court judges and red states will still dominate the senate blocking everything. he has won for the next 50 years essentially.
how about he orders his 6 judges to annul the election?
I take walks through the neighborhood in far northeast Philly. Lots of Trump fans out here. Big flags hanging from their houses alongside Thin Blue Line American flags. Various yard signs. Big fans of the police out here too. Here are some of my faves:
this sign appeared after trump called the vets "losers" the other week:
this person just bought this house:
this person is getting in the fall spirit!
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PA resident here. He won't. This place is Trump central. There's like 10x more Trump yard signs than there were in 2016 in like a 50 mile radius where I live. It's depressing. I haven't seen a single Biden yard sign and next week is October.
The one thing Trump does is unite the rich and poor people. Some dumpy trailer decked out in Trump signs and a mansion a few miles away with Trump flags. You'd think that would alert you not to vote for Trump as a poor person but nope.
The one thing Trump does is unite the rich and poor people. Some dumpy trailer decked out in Trump signs and a mansion a few miles away with Trump flags. You'd think that would alert you not to vote for Trump as a poor person but nope.
As someone who lives in NJ less than an hour from PA, whose wife works with countless people who live in PA, and who had a great grandfather that lived deep into PA in the middle of nowhere (he passed away about 15 years ago), this terrifies me to not end. I really hope I am scared for no reason.
As a resident of a hillbilly shithole in PA I'm making sure to vote for Biden but man the amount of Trump decorations all over people's houses around here is off putting. Seriously some of these fuckers have their houses looking like billboards for Trump 2020.
Not everyone wears their politics on their shoulder lol. Ignore the yard signs. By that measure you'd think Trump is enormously popular if you watched his rallies.
Is there any actual evidence that yard signs indicate how a swing state will go? Considering they are literally a cult, it seems fitting that way more Trump supporters would be obnoxious and showy about their support than Dems
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For all that PA is a hillbilly wasteland between the cities, people need to remember that Trump people are all about performative displays. It's a form of intimidation. The Trump political brand is BUILT on aggressive posturing.
Even if they end up being the minority, every single Trump voter is going to be screaming in the streets while waving flags.
Even if they end up being the minority, every single Trump voter is going to be screaming in the streets while waving flags.
It's one of my least favorite things about my home state is the confederacy idolatry, weren't even on that side you would think the state was cut in half during the civil war. Just a lot of racist assholes up here, especially in the very rural areas and it's a sizable portion of the state.
I think biden has a good shot at it though, PA has gone blue in all but one election in the past 30 years(the last one of course) and he is from Scranton. I imagine a lot of people went Obama-Trump last election because Obama "didn't do enough" for some people and that will shift back enough this election plus increased turnout. I saw very little from the Clinton campaign in 16.
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There have been a few houses by me that have been like that for YEARS.
I note that in all but one Biden victory case (at least in the top-of-page graphic), he wins Maine. Dirigo indeed!
yeah, everyone i know is voting for biden. none of us have fucking biden signs on our lawns. the cult worships and that's not an easy thing to overcome but its also not impossible.
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worse. you should watch this video.
the trump campagin systematically targeted black voters, just enough to help depress turn out by targeting ads in states like MI. WI,PA and GA. Its bad. Seeing this and correlating to turn out. Its clear what they did.