Official Staff Communication
Election Day Guidelines
- Keep in mind that early returns can be misleading. This is truer than ever in 2020 due to the enormous portion of ballots being cast by mail. Many states are not allowed to begin counting mail-in ballots until election day, and their results might not be known for days.
- Any trolling, of any kind, will be severely punished.
- CHECK YOUR SOURCES, cite anything other than mainstream and reputable news outlets at your own risk. A blue check mark on Twitter is not enough. There may be bans for posting misinformation, especially if it causes a disturbance.
- Do not create hot take/reaction threads. Any threads on the election outside of the main OT must be newsworthy and have excellent sources.
- Avoid hysteria at every scrap of news when the outcome is still undetermined. If you are totally freaking out when nothing is official you may be moderated for your own good.
Presidential Candidates
WINNER Democrat Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Final Presidential Predictions - As of Midnight Nov 3.
538
RCP
Economist
Washington Post
Wasserman Map(Mr. Ive Seen Enough)
LeanTossUp
Jeb's Prediction!
Key Congressional Races
Key House Races
Key Senate Races
Final Congressional Predictions - As of Midnight Nov 3.
538
RCP
LeanTossUp
Economist
Washington Post
Governor Races
Swing States Predictions
538
RCP
Economist
Washington Post
Voting on Election Day( Know your Rights)
https://ballotpedia.org/2020_ballot_measures
Key Ballot Measures
These typically can massively change certain laws. pay close attention based on your state.
General Voting Rights
YOUR #1 PRIORITY ON TUESDAY SHOULD BE TO GET YOUR VOTE IN!!!
- Remember: NO ONE has the right to ask or know who you are voting for while you're at the polling station. YOU DO NOT HAVE TO ANSWER IF SOMEONE ASKS!
- Do not engage or confront anyone being obnoxious about their chosen candidate. Get in, vote, get out. Do not risk getting ejected from your polling place.
- Likewise, do not BE obnoxious about YOUR chosen candidate. Same reasons as above.
- Don't wear or display anything related to a political party or candidate. This may be used as ground to eject you from your polling place.
- If you are in line at your polling area before polls officially close, you have the right to vote! Stay in line!
- If you are told by a poll worker that you are not eligible to vote, but you believe you are: In many states, you can give a sworn statement to the poll worker that you satisfy the qualifications to vote in your state, and then proceed to cast a ballot.
- If you see or experience any voter intimidation or suppression, PLEASE CALL the following from a safe area:
Also Call these hotlines
*ACLU Election Protection hotline:
English: 1-866-OUR-VOTE / 1-866-687-8683
Spanish: 1-888-VE-Y-VOTA / 1-888-839-8682
Arabic: 1-844-YALLA-US / 1-844-925-5287
For Bengali, Cantonese, Hindi, Urdu, Korean, Mandarin, Tagalog, or Vietnamese: 1-888-274-8683
(Thanks Kensation for this)
Where to Watch Live Results
Television
- CBS - Coverage Starts at 6 PM
- NBC - Coverage Starts at 6 PM
- FOX - Coverage Starts at 6PM
- CNN - Coverage Starts at 6 PM
- Univsion - Coverage Starts at 6 PM
Online
Exit Poll Notes
Due to the unprecedented amount of mail in ballots, be wary of Election Day exit polls they may not be a great reflection this year.
More on Exit Polls Here:
Exit Polls Can Be Misleading — Especially This Year
Exit polls are usually a core component of election-night reporting — especially before real results come in. They can provide an early sense of which candidate…
fivethirtyeight.com
When to expect preliminary results from States
(Expect at least a long night, Week or at worst weeks) - Earliest Idea will be after Midnight EST.
Battleground Mail in Counting
Detailed When to expect Results
When To Expect Election Results In Every State
A guide to poll closing times on Election Day 2020, major Senate and House races to watch, how long vote counting will take, and when election results are expected in all 50 states.
What to understand about President Trump's Fraud Claims
Notes on 2016
We all are well aware of 2016, most people on this forum understand there are still real chances for the incumbent to win. When it comes to drawing any parallels to polls and 2016 please understand as of right now. As of right now, polls would need be even further outside 2016 polling for them to be incorrect. Many pollsters have changed their weighting on education to compensate. In the spirit of keeping things focused on this years election, its best not to derail the thread with 2016 comparisons. These are two different races for many different reasons. Here are two articles explaining this phenomenon.
What Trump Needs to Win: A Polling Error Much Bigger Than 2016’s (Published 2020)
Several factors that led to the misfire last time are no longer in play.
Why Trump needs more than a 2016 polling miss to win | CNN Politics
The 2020 election is down to the home stretch. And like most of the year, former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead President Donald Trump nationally and in the swing states that matter. There are some who dismiss the polls because of their perceived inaccuracies in 2016.
www.cnn.com
What The 2020 Election Map Would Look Like If There’s A 2016-Sized Polling Error
Our forecast shows former Vice President Joe Biden with a considerable lead. But what would happen if 2020 saw the same type of polling error as we saw in 2016?…
fivethirtyeight.com
Undecided(You,Friends,Family)?
Its no secret many on this forum are heavily Pro Biden-Harris. Here are some cheat sheets on their campaign. When it comes to Trump there is plenty of "Information" out there. However if you, friend or family are on the fence on Biden Harris, here are a few quick cheat sheets you can post or share to talk to.
Final Early Vote Estimate
98,708,297 - as of 11:00 pm Nov 2. Should hit 100 million.
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election
Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.
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