Harris is a C+ pollster on 538, the Democratic sample size is less than 300 and it's online-only, for reference.
Isn't this usually enough to throw it in the trash?
Harris is a C+ pollster on 538, the Democratic sample size is less than 300 and it's online-only, for reference.
Better spend your $1000 on a gun so you can protect yourself and your property when the government defaults and the gibs run out.Twist: a massive block of NEETs unrepresented by polls shows up in sweatpants for the primary and propels Yang to the top, everyone gets a thousand bucks, welcome to the technocracy
I'm guessing he would pick a woman, but you never knowi can see beto being his vp
i agree completely tbh but i shouldn't pretend biden isn't currently far and away the favorite
he really should pick a woman, but its biden so lol who knows
How many of those did Hillary get out to vote Dem?
sorry i've already got my eyes on a really nice one piece figureBetter spend your $1000 on a gun so you can protect yourself and your property when the government defaults and the gibs run out.
Obviously none, because lefty who angrily votes for Jill Stein because they think all non-Bernie options are evil corporatist capitalits isn't really going to be willing to vote for anyone besides Sanders on the D ticket.
If you have to win with a coaltion that's either the oldest half of the party or the youngest one, the oldest half is the one you want because they turn out to vote more.What the fuck at these polls. Jesus fuck. Why is Clinton on there? Why is Warren all over the place? Where the fuck did the mini Booker boost come from? And WHO THE HELL IS SUPPORTING BIDEN!?
Like, I know anecdotes aren't worth shit, but literally nobody I know backs him. He's gonna win the nomination and tank in the general, isn't he? I don't want anyone that fucking old, but at least Bernie has good policies.
This doesn't make sense. Biden's general election numbers are the best of anyone in the field. It's one of the key reason he has support in the primary because he is "electable".He's gonna win the nomination and tank in the general, isn't he? I don't want anyone that fucking old, but at least Bernie has good policies.
Obama didn't win over a ton of voters until late in 2007/early 2008 when he stood toe to toe with Hillary in the debates and won Iowa, flipping a lot of voters from Hillary who were considering him but weren't sure about his "electability" prior to that. It's a big factor with an electorate that's seen Gore, Kerry and now Hillary go down, and it takes a lot to overcome that. But it's not impossible.This doesn't make sense. Biden's general election numbers are the best of anyone in the field. It's one of the key reason he has support in the primary because he is "electable".
I think because I'm in Indiana, the old people I know who would probably be the Biden supporters are going to Pete instead.If you have to win with a coaltion that's either the oldest half of the party or the youngest one, the oldest half is the one you want because they turn out to vote more.
He's going to be vulnerable to many of the same issues Clinton had, minus sexism (which may be enough for him to win). But the non sexist issues, like a closet full of skeletons and shitty votes, are probably even worse than Clinton. She was beating Trump by 10 points too until she got all her dirty laundry aired out through the general. Other candidates don't have such an extensive list of GE vulnerabilities imo. I also think his age will turn out to be a huge liability. He just sounds like he has one foot in the grave already.This doesn't make sense. Biden's general election numbers are the best of anyone in the field. It's one of the key reason he has support in the primary because he is "electable".
I think because I'm in Indiana, the old people I know who would probably be the Biden supporters are going to Pete instead.
He's going to be vulnerable to many of the same issues Clinton had, minus sexism (which may be enough for him to win). But the non sexist issues, like a closet full of skeletons and shitty votes, are probably even worse than Clinton. She was beating Trump by 10 points too until she got all her dirty laundry aired out through the general. Other candidates don't have such an extensive list of GE vulnerabilities imo. I also think his age will turn out to be a huge liability. He just sounds like he has one foot in the grave already.
Anyway, hope I'm wrong about all of this lol. Not gonna let myself freak out too much until after Christmas.
When is this happening? Today? I don't know the original planned date.Official Staff CommunicationAfter discussing user feedback submitted by PM, we have decided to close this OT a month early and lift the moratorium on individual Democratic Primary threads. In doing so we are trusting you to create threads with restraint and with quality OPs, and to remain civil and on-topic in those threads.
Please be aware that we will be watching carefully and moderating as actively as necessary to address the following:
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Originally we were just going to transition into the first debate thread then go from there, but I'll lock this thread at the end of the day and we'll start at that point instead.When is this happening? Today? I don't know the original planned date.
Cool, sounds good.Originally we were just going to transition into the first debate thread then go from there, but I'll lock this thread at the end of the day and we'll start at that point instead.
Of course I want the truth. And I also want to beat Trump more than anything, but I guess that's where we diverge. I think Sanders has a far better chance of beating Trump. Hopefully we'll have a better idea in a few months. Thanks for daring to answer.
Wouldn't it make more sense to move this thread to hangouts till the debates start?Originally we were just going to transition into the first debate thread then go from there, but I'll lock this thread at the end of the day and we'll start at that point instead.
So, are threads discussing a candidate's campaign ok?Official Staff CommunicationAfter discussing user feedback submitted by PM, we have decided to close this OT a month early and lift the moratorium on individual Democratic Primary threads. In doing so we are trusting you to create threads with restraint and with quality OPs, and to remain civil and on-topic in those threads.
Please be aware that we will be watching carefully and moderating as actively as necessary to address the following:
- Threads devolving into "mini-OTs" instead of focusing on the topic in the title. If a discussion is not bringing anything new to the table, it is liable to be locked.
- "Factions" of members colluding to engage in petty and personal vendettas against each other. We know it's too much to expect you all to get along, but these threads are meant to provide discussion for the whole community. They are not battlegrounds for your clique to settle scores with others. When you disagree, do so on substance and without invective.
- Excessive thread posting on similar topics by the same members, especially with low quality or low content OPs consisting of little more than an article link and/or quote. Please think carefully about how much substance your thread really has before you create it.
- It is difficult enough to moderate these threads without users actively trying to make that task more difficult. Be courteous to the staff at all times.
Oh, and I have mixed feelings about the OT closing. On the one hand, there really should be new threads for new news. On the other, we're gonna have a flood of completely out of context thread titles whose content tells a different story than the implication of the thread title and the poster.
Personally I think it's a mistake to close this thread. What is and isn't grounds for a new thread? Warren tweets out a new policy. Is that threadworthy? What about polls? They're dropping all the time. How about when Trump or the rest of the shitbag GOP do something and the 2020 D candidates weigh in on it? Is that threadworthy?Official Staff CommunicationAfter discussing user feedback submitted by PM, we have decided to close this OT a month early and lift the moratorium on individual Democratic Primary threads. In doing so we are trusting you to create threads with restraint and with quality OPs, and to remain civil and on-topic in those threads.
Please be aware that we will be watching carefully and moderating as actively as necessary to address the following:
- Threads devolving into "mini-OTs" instead of focusing on the topic in the title. If a discussion is not bringing anything new to the table, it is liable to be locked.
- "Factions" of members colluding to engage in petty and personal vendettas against each other. We know it's too much to expect you all to get along, but these threads are meant to provide discussion for the whole community. They are not battlegrounds for your clique to settle scores with others. When you disagree, do so on substance and without invective.
- Excessive thread posting on similar topics by the same members, especially with low quality or low content OPs consisting of little more than an article link and/or quote. Please think carefully about how much substance your thread really has before you create it.
- It is difficult enough to moderate these threads without users actively trying to make that task more difficult. Be courteous to the staff at all times.